Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday July 18 2026
The Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders rematch on Saturday afternoon brings together the CFL's best offensive quarterback tandem just one week after Montreal's 37-30 home win. Bettors looking for more games to target this week should check out these free CFL picks before locking in any tickets.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Montreal Alouettes -1.5
- Total Pick: Over 63.5
- Final Score Prediction: Montreal Alouettes 35, Calgary Stampeders 31
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Market | Montreal Alouettes | Calgary Stampeders |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| Total | Over 63.5 (-110) | Under 63.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Montreal Alouettes | Calgary Stampeders |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12 | 00:00:03AM | -1.5 (-104) | 1.5 (-118) |
| 07/12 | 00:00:03AM | -1.5 (-104) | 1.5 (-118) |
| 07/12 | 00:00:03AM | -1.5 (-104) | 1.5 (-118) |
| 07/14 | 09:12:05AM | -1.5 (-104) | 1.5 (-118) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
| 07/14 | 01:46:14PM | -1.5 (-110) | 1.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/14 | 09:12:05AM | 63.5o-110 | 63.5u-110 |
Alouettes vs Stampeders Key Matchups and Game Preview
Montreal enters Week 7 at 4-1, tied for the CFL's best record, while Calgary is 2-3 after Montreal earned a 37-30 home victory in the first meeting. Montreal has been the more balanced team, scoring 170 points while allowing 154, compared with Calgary's league-high 194 points scored and 176 surrendered.
Alouettes' Efficient Passing Attack
Quarterback Davis Alexander has completed 70.1% of his passes for 1,779 yards, eight touchdowns and no interceptions, giving Montreal an efficient and mistake-free passing attack. Tyson Philpot has been his primary weapon with 45 catches on 56 targets for 719 yards and four touchdowns, while Tyler Snead has added 470 yards and three scores.
Stampeders' Big-Play Quarterback
Calgary counters with Vernon Adams Jr., who has thrown for 1,399 yards and 14 touchdowns without an interception while also rushing for 134 yards and two scores. Adams' big-play ability makes the Stampeders dangerous against any opponent, and he has several productive receiving options, including Jalen Philpot, Tevin Jones, Erik Brooks and Dedrick Brissett.
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Calgary's Ground Game
Calgary can also lean on Dedrick Mills, who has rushed for 394 yards at 5.6 yards per carry, while Montreal's Travis Theis has produced 259 yards and three touchdowns on 47 attempts.
Stampeders' Defensive Concerns
The most significant injury for Calgary is receiver Reggie Begelton, who has been ruled out with a knee issue, removing an experienced target from an already explosive passing game. Defensive lineman Tristan Marois is also out, while defensive back Jaydon Grant, defensive lineman Elijah Hills, linebacker Marquel Lee and kicker Rene Paredes are questionable.
Montreal's Defensive Edge
Those defensive concerns matter against an Alouettes offense that consistently protects the football and generates explosive plays through Philpot. Calgary's home-field advantage and offensive ceiling should keep the game competitive, but Montreal has the stronger defense, the better record and a quarterback who has yet to throw an interception.
Betting Trends MTL vs CGY
Montreal already won the first meeting between these two teams 37-30, and the Alouettes proved last week that they can withstand a Calgary comeback and finish the game. That head-to-head result, paired with Montreal's superior record and defensive numbers, has kept the spread close despite Calgary's status as the league's highest-scoring offense.
Key Injuries and Things To Know MTL vs CGY
Calgary is missing receiver Reggie Begelton, who has been ruled out with a knee issue, along with defensive lineman Tristan Marois. Defensive back Jaydon Grant, defensive lineman Elijah Hills, linebacker Marquel Lee and kicker Rene Paredes are all questionable for the Stampeders.
Alouettes vs Stampeders Side and Over/Under Picks
Alouettes Spread Angle
Calgary's home-field advantage and offensive ceiling should keep the game competitive, but Montreal has the stronger defense, the better record and a quarterback who has yet to throw an interception. The Alouettes also proved last week that they can withstand a Calgary comeback and finish the game. Montreal -1.5 is the preferred side.
Stampeders Total Trends
Over 63.5 is the total play because these teams combined for 67 points in their first meeting and both quarterbacks have produced exceptional touchdown-to-interception ratios. The line movement above shows the total settling at 63.5o-110/63.5u-110, reflecting a balanced market around the current number.
- Spread: Montreal Alouettes -1.5
- Total: Over 63.5
Final Score Prediction
Alouettes Final Score Outlook
Alexander's turnover-free efficiency and Montreal's stronger overall defense give the Alouettes the edge in a rematch that should once again feature plenty of scoring from both sides. Calgary's offensive firepower behind Adams should keep the Stampeders competitive, but Montreal's balance and recent head-to-head success point toward another Alouettes win.
- Final Score Prediction: Montreal Alouettes 35, Calgary Stampeders 31
How to Wager On Alouettes vs Stampeders
Bettors looking to build out this matchup further have a few resources worth checking before placing a wager on Alouettes vs Stampeders. Comparing model-based projections against the current market number can help confirm whether Montreal -1.5 and the Over 63.5 line up with broader expectations. These AI picks offer a wider look at how models are projecting this game.
Two additional tools worth reviewing for this specific matchup include the Dimers review, which breaks down simulation-based projections for games like this one, and the Oddible review, which focuses on real-time odds comparison across sportsbooks. Using these resources alongside the line movement data above can help bettors decide whether to back Montreal on the spread, take the Over, or look elsewhere on the board for this Alouettes-Stampeders rematch.
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