Athletics vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions for Friday April 10 2026
Athletics and New York Mets meet at Citi Field in Queens, New York, on Friday, April 10, 2026, at 7:10 PM with coverage on MLB.TV. The betting odds for this matchup show the Athletics at +129 on the moneyline and the Mets at -156. The total is set at 8.5, with the over at -108 and the under at -112, while the run line lists the Athletics at +1.5 (-156) and the Mets at -1.5 (+129). This opener in Queens features a road team coming off a strong series result and a home club with the better overall profile, and readers should also check out free MLB picks for more daily MLB betting insight.
Starting Pitchers for This Matchup
The pitching matchup for this game features J.T. Ginn for the Athletics and Clay Holmes for New York. Ginn enters with a 0-0 record, a 5.14 ERA, and a 1.14 WHIP through 7.0 innings. He has allowed 6 hits, struck out 4, walked 2, and given up 1 home run. Holmes comes into this game with a 2-0 record, a 1.42 ERA, and a 0.95 WHIP across 12.2 innings. He has allowed 7 hits, struck out 9, walked 5, and surrendered 1 home run. Based on the numbers provided, Holmes has been the more effective starter so far, particularly when it comes to run prevention.
Athletics Try to Keep Recent Progress Going
The Athletics enter this game with a 5-7 overall record and a 3-6 mark on the road. Over their last five games, they have gone 3-2. They recently won back-to-back games against New York by scores of 1-0 and 3-2, and they also picked up a 12-10 extra-inning win against Houston. Their losses in that stretch were a 5-3 defeat against New York and an 11-0 loss to Houston. That recent run shows a club that has been capable of winning close games, even if the overall season record still sits below .500.
The Athletics are batting .226 as a team with 46 runs, 84 hits, and 10 home runs. Their on-base percentage is .296 and their slugging percentage is .355. On the mound, they have a 5.20 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .262. The staff has issued 69 walks and recorded 85 strikeouts. In day games, the Athletics are 2-4, though this contest will be played at night.
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The clearest concern for the Athletics is on the pitching side. A 5.20 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP stand out immediately, and the 69 walks reinforce that this staff has had trouble keeping traffic off the bases. Even with recent wins and a respectable 10 home runs, those run prevention numbers leave very little margin for error against a team with a stronger overall pitching profile.
Mets Bring Better Balance Into the Series Opener
New York comes into this matchup with a 7-5 overall record and a 3-2 record at home. In the last five games, the Mets have gone 4-1. They recently lost 7-2 to Arizona, but before that they won three straight, including a 4-3 extra-inning victory over Arizona and three straight wins over San Francisco by scores of 5-2, 9-0, and 10-3. That stretch points to a team that has been playing well in a variety of game scripts, from close contests to more decisive wins.
The Mets are batting .248 with 55 runs, 105 hits, and 9 home runs. Their on-base percentage is .324 and their slugging percentage is .370. Their pitching staff has been excellent so far, posting a 2.90 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP while holding opponents to a .224 batting average. New York has also struck out 110 batters and walked 41. In day games, the Mets are 4-3, but their overall numbers are the more important measure for this Friday night home game.
New York’s biggest strength in this matchup is its balance. The Mets have scored more runs than the Athletics, have the higher batting average, and have also been far better on the mound. Their 2.90 ERA is dramatically lower than the Athletics’ 5.20, and their 1.20 WHIP is much cleaner than the 1.71 mark on the other side. That combination gives New York a much steadier overall profile entering this game.
Athletics vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
Athletics vs New York Mets Pick
Pick: Mets Moneyline
New York is the stronger side here based on the data provided. The Mets own the better overall record, have gone 4-1 in their last five games, and have been superior in several major team categories. They are batting .248 compared to .226 for the Athletics, and the gap on the mound is even more significant with a 2.90 ERA against 5.20. Holmes has also been more effective than Ginn early in the season, posting a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. The Athletics have shown some fight lately, but the full profile favors New York.
Athletics vs New York Mets Total Pick
Pick: Under 8.5
I would take the under 8.5 in this matchup. New York’s pitching staff has been one of the strongest units in the data provided, with a 2.90 ERA and a .224 opponent batting average, and Holmes has backed that up with an excellent start to the season. The Athletics have struggled offensively at times despite recent wins, and their .296 on-base percentage suggests they have not consistently created pressure. With the Mets bringing the better pitching numbers and the total sitting at 8.5, I think the under is the better play.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 5 – Athletics 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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