Athletics vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions for Saturday April 11 2026
The Athletics travel to Citi Field in Queens, New York to take on the New York Mets on Saturday, April 11, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM. The game will be broadcast on MLB.TV. The Mets enter as the favorite at -156 on the moneyline, while the Athletics are listed at +129. The total is set at 7.5 runs, with the Athletics +1.5 at -163 on the run line and the Mets -1.5 at +135. Be sure to check out free MLB picks for additional insights.
Starting Pitchers Overview
The Athletics will send Jacob Lopez to the mound, entering with a 0-1 record, a 6.48 ERA, and a 2.28 WHIP across 8.1 innings. He has allowed nine hits while striking out six and walking ten, along with one home run allowed. The Mets will counter with Kodai Senga, who holds a 0-1 record with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 11.2 innings. He has given up nine hits while striking out 16 and walking five without allowing a home run. Based on the numbers provided, Senga has shown stronger control and run prevention early on.
Athletics Trying to Build on Recent Results
The Athletics enter this matchup with a 5-7 overall record and a 3-6 mark on the road. Despite the losing record, they have played better recently, winning three of their last five games. They recently picked up back-to-back wins over the Yankees by scores of 1-0 and 3-2, and also secured a high-scoring 12-10 victory over Houston. However, they have also shown inconsistency with losses including a 5-3 defeat and an 11-0 shutout loss.
From a statistical perspective, the Athletics are batting .227 with 47 runs, 92 hits, and 10 home runs. Their on-base percentage sits at .292 with a .353 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, they carry a 4.75 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .246. The staff has issued 72 walks and recorded 93 strikeouts, suggesting some control issues alongside moderate strikeout ability.
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A key weakness for the Athletics has been pitching efficiency. With a 4.75 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP, they have allowed a significant number of base runners, which can lead to scoring opportunities for opposing teams. The high walk total also reinforces the challenge of limiting traffic on the bases.
Mets Looking to Capitalize at Home
The Mets come into this game with a 7-6 overall record and a 3-3 mark at home. They have gone 3-2 over their last five games, picking up wins over San Francisco and Arizona, including a 9-0 and 5-2 result. However, they also dropped two recent games to Arizona by scores of 7-2 and 7-1, showing some inconsistency despite their overall solid record.
Offensively, the Mets have posted a .243 batting average with 56 runs, 111 hits, and 10 home runs. Their on-base percentage is .317 with a .365 slugging percentage. On the mound, they have been effective with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP while limiting opponents to a .224 batting average. The pitching staff has also recorded 119 strikeouts and issued 44 walks.
One of the Mets’ strengths is their balanced profile, particularly on the pitching side. A 3.21 ERA combined with a .224 opponent batting average shows their ability to limit scoring, while their offense has generated 56 runs, providing steady support.
Athletics vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction
Athletics vs New York Mets Pick
Pick: Mets Moneyline
The Mets have the advantage in this matchup based on both pitching and overall team performance. They carry a lower ERA and WHIP compared to the Athletics, and Kodai Senga’s numbers suggest more consistent control and effectiveness than Jacob Lopez. With the Athletics allowing a higher opponent batting average and issuing more walks, the Mets are in a better position to capitalize on scoring opportunities at home.
Athletics vs New York Mets Total Pick
Pick: Over 7.5
I am leaning toward the over in this game because of the Athletics’ pitching struggles and tendency to allow base runners. With a 4.75 ERA and 1.60 WHIP, there is potential for the Mets to generate runs. At the same time, the Athletics have shown they can score, including a recent 12-run performance. Combining these factors, the total looks reachable.
Final Score Prediction: Mets 5 – Athletics 4
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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