Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction for Thursday May 14 2026
The Colorado Rockies visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday, May 14, 2026, at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV. The gametime weather in Pittsburgh is listed at 52 degrees. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Colorado enters this matchup looking to stop a recent slide, while Pittsburgh comes in with the stronger overall record and home-field edge. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers Set the Tone at PNC Park
Chase Dollander is scheduled to start for Colorado, bringing a 3-2 record with a 3.35 ERA and 1.19 WHIP across 43.0 innings. Dollander has allowed 34 hits while recording 47 strikeouts, 17 walks, and five home runs. Pittsburgh is expected to counter with Carmen Mlodzinski, who enters at 2-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over 40.0 innings. Mlodzinski has allowed 45 hits while striking out 41, walking 13, and giving up two home runs.
Rockies Looking for a Road Response
Colorado comes into this game with a 16-26 overall record and an 8-15 mark on the road. The Rockies recently lost to Pittsburgh 3-1, recently lost to Philadelphia 6-0, and recently lost to Philadelphia 9-3 before that. Colorado did recently win over Philadelphia 9-7 in 11 innings and recently won over New York 6-2, but the current form shows a team trying to regain traction after three straight losses.
The Rockies are hitting .248 as a team with 176 runs, 353 hits, and 41 home runs. Colorado owns a .316 on-base percentage and a .395 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Rockies have a 4.81 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP, 139 walks, 317 strikeouts, and a .270 opponent batting average.
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The biggest concern for Colorado is run prevention. The Rockies have allowed a higher ERA and WHIP than Pittsburgh, and their opponent batting average is also much higher. Even with a lineup that has been competitive in batting average, Colorado needs a cleaner pitching effort to stay close on the road.
Pirates Trying to Build on Home Momentum
Pittsburgh enters this matchup at 23-19 overall with a 12-9 record at home. The Pirates recently won over Colorado 3-1, recently lost to San Francisco 7-6 in 12 innings, recently won over San Francisco 13-3, recently lost to San Francisco 5-2, and recently won over Arizona 4-2. That gives Pittsburgh three wins across its last five games and a chance to continue building momentum at PNC Park.
The Pirates are batting .250 with 209 runs, 364 hits, and 44 home runs. Pittsburgh also carries a .337 on-base percentage and a .390 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has been stronger than Colorado’s so far, posting a 3.67 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 151 walks, 378 strikeouts, and a .221 opponent batting average.
Pittsburgh’s biggest strength entering this matchup is the pitching profile. The Pirates have allowed fewer baserunners, fewer hits by opponent batting average, and fewer runs overall based on ERA. That advantage stands out even more against a Colorado team that has recently been held to one run and shut out in two of its last three games.
Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks and Prediction
Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
- Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
Pittsburgh is the pick in this matchup because the Pirates have the stronger overall record, the better home mark, and the clearer statistical edge on the mound. Pittsburgh owns a 3.67 ERA compared to Colorado’s 4.81, along with a 1.22 WHIP compared to Colorado’s 1.42. The Pirates also recently won over the Rockies 3-1, while Colorado has dropped three straight games. With Pittsburgh carrying better pitching numbers and coming back home after already taking the most recent matchup, the Pirates are the stronger side.
Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8.5
I would lean under if the total is set at 8.5. Colorado has scored just one run across its last two games, while Pittsburgh recently held the Rockies to a 3-1 final. The Pirates’ pitching numbers are strong, especially with a 3.67 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and .221 opponent batting average. Colorado’s starter also enters with a solid 3.35 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, which gives this game a path toward another controlled scoring result.
Final Score Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates 4 – Colorado Rockies 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.
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