Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Wednesday May 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/13/2026, 12:15 AM ET

The Detroit Tigers travel to Citi Field in Queens, New York on Wednesday, May 13, 2026, to face the New York Mets. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET with coverage available on MLB.TV. Detroit enters the matchup with a 19-22 overall record and a 7-16 road record, while New York comes in at 15-25 overall and 6-12 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks before locking in their wagers.

Starting Pitchers Ready for Citi Field Matchup

Framber Valdez gets the ball for Detroit carrying a 2-2 record with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 43.1 innings. He has allowed 46 hits while striking out 35 batters, walking 15, and surrendering five home runs. New York counters with Christian Scott, who enters with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP across 11.0 innings. Scott has allowed just six hits while striking out 15 batters, walking seven, and allowing one home run. Based on the provided numbers, the Mets appear to have the edge in the starting pitching matchup entering this game.

Detroit Attempts to Build Momentum on the Road

Detroit enters this contest with a 19-22 overall record and a difficult 7-16 road mark. The Tigers have gone 1-4 over their last five games, recently won over Kansas City 6-3 and recently lost to Kansas City 5-1. Detroit also recently lost to Kansas City 4-3 and recently lost to Boston 4-0 and 10-3. While the Tigers have struggled away from home overall, they did show signs of improvement during the recent series against Kansas City.

The Tigers are batting .242 with 175 runs, 329 hits, and 37 home runs. Detroit owns a .324 on-base percentage and a .390 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Tigers have posted a 3.90 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average. Detroit has also recorded 342 strikeouts while issuing 142 walks this season.

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One clear strength for Detroit entering this matchup is offensive consistency compared to New York. The Tigers hold the better batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage based on the numbers provided. Detroit has also scored more runs overall than the Mets, which could become important if this game turns into a lower-scoring battle.

New York Hopes Home Field Sparks a Turnaround

New York enters at 15-25 overall with a 6-12 home record. The Mets have split their last five games, recently lost to Arizona 5-1 and 2-1 while recently winning over Arizona 3-1 in 10 innings. New York also recently lost to Colorado 6-2 after recently winning over Colorado 10-5. The Mets have had difficulty maintaining offensive momentum during this recent stretch, particularly in games where pitching has kept the score close.

The Mets are batting .222 with 139 runs, 295 hits, and 31 home runs. New York owns a .287 on-base percentage and a .341 slugging percentage. Despite those offensive struggles, the Mets pitching staff has been solid with a 3.85 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. New York has also recorded 376 strikeouts, which is the higher total between these teams.

The biggest strength for New York is clearly the pitching profile. The Mets have the lower ERA, lower WHIP, lower opponent batting average, and more strikeouts than Detroit. Even though the offense has struggled statistically, the pitching numbers have helped keep New York competitive in a number of recent games.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Picks and Prediction

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Pick

  • Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

I like New York in this matchup because the Mets carry the stronger overall pitching numbers and appear to have the better starting pitching situation entering the game. New York owns the lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average while also leading in strikeouts. Christian Scott has also posted strong numbers in his innings so far, allowing only six hits with a 3.27 ERA. Detroit has struggled on the road with a 7-16 record, and that road difficulty gives New York value at home despite its own inconsistent season.

Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 8

I would take the under if the total is set at 8 because both teams have shown inconsistent offensive production recently while the pitching numbers remain respectable. New York has struggled offensively throughout the season with a .222 batting average and only 139 runs scored. Detroit has also recently played several lower-scoring games including 5-1, 4-3, and 4-0 results. With the Mets holding strong overall pitching metrics and Christian Scott carrying solid early numbers into this matchup, the under feels like the stronger side.

Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – Detroit Tigers 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.

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