Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 07/07/2026, 12:15 AM ET

The Kansas City Royals visit the New York Mets on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field, with coverage on MLB.TV. Kansas City is 36-54 and sits last in the AL Central, while New York is 37-53 and sits last in the NL East. The Royals snapped a four-game losing streak with a 5-2 victory over Philadelphia on Sunday, while the Mets avoided a sweep in Atlanta by earning a 10-9 win after dropping their previous three games. Check out today's free MLB picks.

Kansas City Royals Preview

Kansas City ranks 19th in MLB with a .242 team batting average while scoring 369 runs and hitting 87 home runs this season. Bobby Witt Jr. continues to lead the offense with a .290 average, 95 hits, 12 home runs, and 30 stolen bases. Rookie Jac Caglianone has supplied the club's top power with 14 home runs, while Carter Jensen leads the Royals with 47 RBI and 13 home runs.

The Royals have struggled on the mound throughout the season. Kansas City ranks 28th in MLB with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP while allowing opponents to bat .263. The staff has managed 39 quality starts but has allowed 116 home runs through 89 games, making it difficult to consistently support an offense that already ranks in the bottom half of the league.

Injuries: Stephen Kolek (Bereavement), Nick Mears (15-Day IL), Carlos Estévez (60-Day IL), Kyle Isbel (10-Day IL), Vinnie Pasquantino (10-Day IL).

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New York Mets Preview

New York ranks 27th in MLB with a .231 team batting average, but has still produced 103 home runs. Juan Soto has been the offensive leader, batting .299 with 18 home runs, 43 RBI, and a .407 on-base percentage. Bo Bichette leads the Mets with 50 RBI while batting .258, and Carson Benge has contributed a .255 average with 10 home runs. Francisco Alvarez has added nine home runs to provide additional power.

The Mets have received stronger pitching than their record suggests. New York ranks 17th in MLB with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP while holding opponents to a .235 batting average. The Mets had not officially announced a starting pitcher at the time of writing.

Injuries: Jorge Polanco (60-Day IL), Luis Robert Jr. (60-Day IL), Justin Hagenman (60-Day IL), Dedniel Núñez (60-Day IL), Clay Holmes (60-Day IL).

Pitching Matchup

Kansas City Royals – Seth Lugo (RHP)

Lugo is 3-6 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 96.1 innings. He has allowed 103 hits while striking out 76 batters and surrendering 12 home runs.

New York Mets – Undecided

The Mets have not officially announced a starting pitcher.

Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Prediction

The Mets have been more reliable on the mound this season, and Kansas City's pitching staff continues to rank near the bottom of the league. New York has the edge at home behind a deeper bullpen and enough offensive production from Juan Soto and Bo Bichette to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The Mets will find ways to score enough runs against a Kansas City side that is just 19th in team batting average and has scored an average of just 4.1 runs per game. Final Score Prediction: New York Mets win 5-3.