New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 10 2026
The New York Mets will continue their road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM with coverage available on MLB.TV. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Fans looking for additional daily baseball betting insight can also check out free MLB picks for more MLB predictions and analysis.
Starting Pitchers for Sunday’s Matchup
New York has not yet announced a starting pitcher for this matchup. Arizona is expected to send Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound, and he enters with a 3-0 record, a 2.50 ERA, and a 1.29 WHIP through 39.2 innings. Rodriguez has allowed 32 hits while recording 29 strikeouts, issuing 19 walks, and surrendering 4 home runs.
Mets Carry Momentum Into Arizona
New York enters Sunday with a 15-23 overall record and a 9-11 road record. The Mets recently won over Arizona 3-1 in 10 innings after previously recently lost to Colorado 6-2. Before that loss, New York recently won over Colorado 10-5, recently won over Colorado 4-2, and recently won over the Angels 5-1. The Mets have won four of their last five games and appear to be playing some of their better baseball entering this series finale.
The Mets are batting .227 as a team with 137 runs, 288 hits, and 31 home runs. New York also owns a .290 on-base percentage and a .349 slugging percentage. On the mound, the Mets carry a 3.92 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP while holding opponents to a .233 batting average. New York’s pitching staff has also recorded 361 strikeouts and 132 walks while going 6-11 during day games this season.
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One major strength for New York entering this matchup is the pitching staff’s ability to generate strikeouts. The Mets have recorded 361 strikeouts this season, a noticeably strong number compared to Arizona’s 276. Even though New York has struggled offensively overall, the pitching staff has consistently kept games competitive, including the recent extra-inning win over Arizona.
Diamondbacks Looking to Recover at Home
Arizona enters this matchup with a 17-20 overall record and a 10-9 record at home. The Diamondbacks recently lost to New York 3-1 in 10 innings after previously recently lost to Pittsburgh 4-2 and recently lost to Pittsburgh 1-0. Before those losses, Arizona recently won over Pittsburgh 9-0 but also recently lost to Chicago 8-4. The Diamondbacks have dropped four of their last five games entering Sunday.
Arizona is hitting .239 as a team with 162 runs, 293 hits, and 36 home runs. The Diamondbacks also own a .300 on-base percentage and a .398 slugging percentage. Defensively and on the mound, Arizona carries a 4.69 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .249 against them. Arizona has also issued 125 walks and recorded 276 strikeouts this season while going 7-10 during day games.
The biggest issue for Arizona entering this matchup has been run prevention. The Diamondbacks have the higher ERA, higher WHIP, and higher opponent batting average compared to New York. Arizona has also struggled recently during its current stretch of losses, particularly in lower-scoring games where the offense has not consistently delivered enough support.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
- Pick: New York Mets Moneyline
New York enters this matchup with stronger recent momentum after winning four of its last five games, including the recent extra-inning victory over Arizona. The Mets also own the better ERA, WHIP, and opponent batting average entering Sunday. While Arizona has been slightly more productive offensively overall, the Diamondbacks have struggled defensively throughout the season. With New York playing better baseball recently and continuing to receive solid pitching performances overall, the Mets look like the stronger value side here.
New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Total Pick
- Take the under if the total is set at 8.
I would lean toward the under because recent games involving both teams have featured lower-scoring outcomes. New York recently won over Arizona 3-1 in 10 innings, while Arizona also recently lost 1-0 and 4-2 against Pittsburgh. The Mets carry the stronger overall pitching profile entering the matchup, and Arizona’s offense has struggled to consistently produce during its recent losing stretch. Those trends point toward another competitive game that stays relatively modest on the scoreboard.
Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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