New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Predictions for Sunday, September 7, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/07/2025, 12:10 AM ET

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Game Information

Great American Ball Park hosts Sunday’s final game of a three-game series between the New York Mets and the host Cincinnati Reds, with the first pitch scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. The Mets will send rookie Brandon Sproat for his debut against the Reds’ Hunter Greene. New York enters off a 5-4 win on Friday. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has lost three straight and finds itself below .500. Use our free MLB picks to build your bankroll.

New York Mets Preview

New York’s offense relies on Pete Alonso and Juan Soto in the middle of the order. Alonso has 33 home runs and 113 RBI, while Soto leads with 37 homers and a .401 on-base percentage. Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo add to a lineup that is batting .252 as a team with 194 homers. The Mets’ road record is below average at 31–38.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

Cincinnati is batting .248 with a .318 on-base percentage and .392 slugging percentage, relying more on contact and speed. Elly De La Cruz leads Cincinnati with 19 homers, 78 RBI, and a .268 average, while TJ Friedl’s .367 on-base percentage is the team’s best for regulars. Cincinnati has hit only 138 home runs this season. The bullpen has struggled in recent weeks, putting more pressure on the starting rotation to pitch deeper into each game.

Reds vs Mets Pitching Matchup

Sproat is making his first big-league start; therefore has no MLB track record. Spoat’s debut in a hitter-friendly park adds uncertainty. Cincinnati’s Hunter Greene is carrying a 5–4 record with a 2.70 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts in 83.1 innings. Green has allowed just 12 homers in his 83.1 innings on the hill.

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Mets vs Reds Prediction

Greene’s record at home and Sproat’s inexperience favor the Reds in the first five innings. New York’s lineup has the bigger names, but uncertainty about the rookie starter makes the Reds’ first five innings wager a solid choice. The over/under will be determined by the ability of Cincinnati’s Greene to keep the Mets off the bases and not give up home runs.

Pick: Reds' first five innings moneyline.

Secondary: Over 8 runs.

Final Score Prediction: Cincinnati Reds win 6-4