New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Picks and Prediction for Friday May 1 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/01/2026, 12:35 AM ET

The New York Mets travel to face the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California, on Friday, May 1, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 9:38 PM and coverage available on MLB.TV. The Mets enter this matchup with a 10-21 record and a 4-9 mark on the road, while the Angels come in at 12-20 overall and 5-7 at home. New York is listed at -126 on the moneyline, while Los Angeles is at +104. The total is set at 9 runs, with the Mets -1.5 on the run line at +123 and the Angels +1.5 at -149. Get into all the action with our Free MLB Picks.

Starting Pitchers

The Mets are expected to start Christian Scott, who enters with a 0-0 record, a 6.75 ERA, a 3.75 WHIP, and 1.1 innings pitched. Scott has not allowed a hit yet but has issued five walks while recording one strikeout. The Angels are expected to counter with Walbert Urena, who is 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA, a 2.21 WHIP, and 11.1 innings pitched. Urena has allowed 15 hits with 13 strikeouts, 10 walks, and one home run.

New York Searching for Answers on the Road

The New York Mets come into this game with a 10-21 overall record and a 4-9 mark away from home. Over their last five games, New York has recently lost to Washington 5-4, recently lost to Washington 14-2, recently won over Washington 8-0, recently lost to Colorado 3-0, and recently lost to Colorado 3-1. The Mets have struggled for consistency, with four losses in their last five games.

New York is batting .227 as a team with 102 runs, 228 hits, 23 home runs, a .290 on-base percentage, and a .340 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Mets have a 4.21 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. They have issued 109 walks, recorded 280 strikeouts, and opponents are batting .237 against them. New York is also 4-10 in day games based on the provided numbers.

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One key weakness for New York is its offensive production. The Mets have scored just 102 runs and carry a .227 team batting average along with a .340 slugging percentage. These numbers show difficulty in generating consistent offense, which has been reflected in their recent losses.

Los Angeles Looks to Take Advantage at Home

The Los Angeles Angels enter this matchup with a 12-20 overall record and a 5-7 mark at home. Over their last five games, Los Angeles has recently lost to Chicago 3-2 in extra innings, recently lost to Chicago 5-2, recently lost to Chicago 8-7, recently lost to Kansas City 11-9 in extra innings, and recently lost to Kansas City 12-1. The Angels have dropped five straight games entering this contest.

Los Angeles is hitting .236 as a team with 150 runs, 253 hits, 42 home runs, a .332 on-base percentage, and a .398 slugging percentage. The pitching staff owns a 4.57 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. They have issued 153 walks, recorded 281 strikeouts, and opponents are batting .239 against them. The Angels are also 5-7 in day games based on the provided data.

A key strength for Los Angeles is power production. The Angels have hit 42 home runs and scored 150 runs, both significantly higher than New York’s totals. Even during their recent losing streak, they have shown the ability to produce runs, which could be important in this matchup.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Picks and Prediction

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Pick

Pick: Los Angeles Angels Moneyline

Los Angeles is the pick on the moneyline at +104. While both teams have struggled recently, the Angels hold a clear advantage in offensive production, with 150 runs and 42 home runs compared to New York’s 102 runs and 23 home runs. The Mets also enter with a weaker road record, while the Angels are at home. Both starting pitchers carry elevated WHIP numbers, but New York’s projected starter has a 6.75 ERA and a 3.75 WHIP in limited innings, which creates uncertainty. With the stronger offensive profile and home setting, the Angels are the play.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Total Pick

Pick: Over 9

I lean toward the over 9 runs in this matchup. Both teams have pitching numbers that suggest scoring opportunities, with the Mets holding a 4.21 ERA and the Angels at 4.57. The Angels have shown the ability to generate offense with 150 runs and 42 home runs, while New York’s pitching staff has allowed a steady amount of contact. With both starting pitchers carrying high WHIP numbers, I expect traffic on the bases and enough scoring to push this total over.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Angels 6 – New York Mets 5