New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 3 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/03/2026, 12:50 AM ET

The New York Mets will take on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, California, on Sunday, May 3, 2026, at 4:07 PM. The game will be available on MLB.TV, with the Mets entering at 11-21 overall and 5-9 on the road, while the Angels come in at 12-21 overall and 5-8 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. To explore more betting opportunities across the league, check out the latest MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers

New York is set to start Clay Holmes, while Los Angeles is expected to counter with Jack Kochanowicz. Holmes enters with a 3-2 record, a 1.75 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, 36.0 innings pitched, 24 hits allowed, 25 strikeouts, 11 walks, and three home runs allowed. Kochanowicz comes in at 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, 35.0 innings pitched, 24 hits allowed, 24 strikeouts, 18 walks, and one home run allowed. Based on the available numbers, Holmes has been more effective at limiting runs, while Kochanowicz has shown solid control of contact despite issuing more walks.

New York Trying to Build on Recent Win

The Mets come into this game with an 11-21 record and a 5-9 mark on the road. New York has gone 2-3 over its last five games, recently defeating the Angels and Washington while losing to Washington twice and Colorado. The most recent result was a 4-3 win over the Angels, showing the Mets’ ability to close out a tight game in this matchup.

New York is hitting .227 with 110 runs, 242 hits, and 25 home runs, along with a .290 on-base percentage and a .342 slugging percentage. The pitching staff has posted a 4.10 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP, with 112 walks, 303 strikeouts, and a .233 opponent batting average. These numbers indicate a team that relies heavily on pitching strikeouts but has struggled offensively.

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The key weakness for New York is its offense. With lower totals in runs, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage, the Mets have had difficulty generating consistent scoring, which places additional pressure on their pitching staff to perform at a high level.

Los Angeles Searching for a Turnaround at Home

The Angels enter this matchup with a 12-21 record and a 5-8 record at home. Los Angeles has lost its last five games, including a recent defeat to the Mets and multiple losses to Chicago and Kansas City. The most recent 4-3 loss to New York highlights the team’s struggles to close out games.

Los Angeles is batting .232 with 153 runs, 256 hits, and 43 home runs, along with a .327 on-base percentage and a .393 slugging percentage. On the pitching side, the Angels have a 4.59 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP, with 157 walks, 287 strikeouts, and a .239 opponent batting average. These numbers show a team that can produce power but has struggled with pitching consistency.

The key strength for Los Angeles is its power hitting. The Angels have hit 43 home runs, significantly more than New York, which gives them the ability to generate runs quickly. However, their pitching numbers and recent form remain concerns.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Picks and Prediction

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Pick

  • Pick: New York Mets Moneyline

New York is the pick based on its pitching advantage and recent success in this matchup. The Mets just secured a 4-3 win over the Angels and bring the stronger starting pitching profile into this game. Holmes has been more effective at limiting runs, and New York’s pitching staff overall has a lower ERA and WHIP than Los Angeles. With the Angels currently on a losing streak, the data supports New York as the more reliable side.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Angels Total Pick

  • Pick: Take the under if the total is set at 8.5.

I would lean under if the total is set at 8.5 because New York’s offense has struggled to produce consistently, and the most recent matchup between these teams ended 4-3. While Los Angeles has power, the Mets’ pitching numbers suggest they can limit scoring opportunities. With both teams showing inconsistencies, a lower-scoring game appears more likely.

Final Score Prediction: New York Mets 4 – Los Angeles Angels 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.

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