New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Picks and Prediction for Sunday, May 24, 2026

By: Jake Allman Published 05/24/2026, 12:55 AM ET

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet Sunday morning at loanDepot park in a matchup between two teams trying to steady the middle of the National League picture. First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET, with coverage on MLB.TV and weather listed at 86 degrees in Miami. New York enters at 22-29 overall and 11-16 on the road, while Miami is 23-29 overall and 16-15 at home after taking Friday’s opener 2-1. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

Mets Outlook

The Mets have dropped three of their last five games, including that 2-1 loss to Miami. New York has not hit consistently, carrying a .230 team average, .294 OBP, .356 slugging percentage, and 46 home runs. Juan Soto leads the Mets with 10 homers, a .301 average, and 21 RBI, while Bo Bichette has driven in 27 runs despite a .221 average. Christian Scott gets the ball for New York, and he brings a 4.12 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 25 strikeouts, and 12 walks across 19.2 innings. The strikeout stuff is real, but the walks leave some risk against a Miami lineup that has been better at reaching base.

Marlins Outlook

The Marlins are also just 2-3 over their last five games, but Friday’s win over the Mets gives Miami the cleaner recent result in this matchup. Miami owns the better offensive profile with a .243 average, .319 OBP, .375 slugging percentage, and 223 runs scored. Otto Lopez has been one of Miami’s best contact bats at .340 with a .371 OBP and .485 slugging percentage, while Liam Hicks leads the club with 9 home runs and 42 RBI. Miami lists its starter as undecided. The home record and lineup production still give Miami a slight edge.

Mets vs Marlins Pick

Miami is the pick because the Marlins have the better team batting average, better on-base percentage, better slugging percentage, and the stronger home setup. The Mets' starting pitcher listing of Scott, with a 1.47 WHIP and 12 walks in fewer than 20 innings, makes it hard to back New York with confidence. The Marlins should be able to create enough traffic on the bases, and Miami’s offense has more reliable run production right now. Take the Marlins to win a tight one, with the final score projected at 4-3. The best bet is Marlins moneyline, and the lean is over if the total sits at 7.5 or lower.

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