New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 21 2026
The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet on Sunday, June 21, 2026, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 PM ET with coverage available on NBC and Peacock. New York enters the matchup with a 34-41 record, while Philadelphia comes in at 40-35. ESPN Analytics gives the Phillies a 68.4% chance to win compared to 31.6% for the Mets. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks.
Starting Pitchers for Sunday Night Baseball
New York had not announced a starting pitcher in the provided matchup information and entered the game with its starter listed as undecided. Philadelphia is expected to send Zack Wheeler to the mound. Wheeler has posted a 6-1 record with a 2.01 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP across 62.2 innings. He has allowed 38 hits while striking out 62 batters, walking 15, and surrendering seven home runs.
New York Attempts to Keep Recent Momentum Going
The Mets enter this contest with a 34-41 overall record and a 16-23 mark on the road. Despite sitting below .500, New York has won three of its last five games. The Mets recently defeated Philadelphia 6-4 and also picked up victories over Cincinnati by a 9-1 score and Atlanta by an 8-1 score. Their losses during this stretch came against Cincinnati by scores of 5-3 and 12-0.
New York has posted a .233 team batting average with 306 runs scored, 584 hits, and 79 home runs. The Mets own a .298 on-base percentage and a .373 slugging percentage. Their pitching staff has performed well throughout the season, recording a 3.92 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP while holding opponents to a .230 batting average. The staff has accumulated 682 strikeouts and issued 269 walks.
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The strongest area of New York's profile is its pitching. The Mets have a lower ERA, lower WHIP, and lower opponent batting average than Philadelphia. They have also generated a high strikeout total, helping them remain competitive despite more modest offensive production.
Philadelphia Looks to Defend Home Field
The Phillies come into Sunday night's matchup with a 40-35 overall record and a 21-19 record at home. Philadelphia has gone 2-3 over its last five games. The Phillies recently lost 6-4 to New York but earned wins over Miami by scores of 8-2 and 7-0. Their losses during this stretch came against Miami and New York.
Philadelphia has produced a .229 batting average with 308 runs scored, 574 hits, and 93 home runs. The Phillies carry a .298 on-base percentage and a .387 slugging percentage. On the mound, Philadelphia owns a 4.10 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP while allowing opponents to hit .257. The pitching staff has recorded 703 strikeouts and issued 208 walks.
One notable strength for Philadelphia is its power production. The Phillies have hit 93 home runs compared to New York's 79 and own the better slugging percentage. They have also recorded more strikeouts as a pitching staff while allowing fewer walks, giving them advantages in several important categories.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Prediction
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick
- Pick: Phillies Moneyline
Philadelphia gets the edge in this matchup due to its better overall record and the presence of a starting pitcher carrying a 2.01 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. While New York has performed well recently and owns solid pitching numbers as a team, Philadelphia's combination of home field and the listed starting pitching advantage makes the Phillies the preferred side.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Total Pick
- Pick: Under 8
I like the under if the total is set at 8. New York owns a team ERA of 3.92, while Philadelphia's scheduled starter enters with a 2.01 ERA. Neither offense has scored more than 308 runs this season, and both teams carry identical .298 on-base percentages. Those numbers point toward a tighter, lower-scoring contest.
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 4 – Mets 2
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.
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