New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 4, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 10/04/2025, 12:05 AM ET

The New York Yankees visit the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday at Rogers Centre, with the first pitch at 4:08 PM ET on FOX. This is Game 1 of the American League Division Series, a best-of-five matchup. The Yankees advanced after beating Boston in the Wild Card round, while Toronto earned a bye by winning the AL East and now opens this series at home. Hit a homer with our best free MLB Picks today.

New York Yankees Preview

The Yankees leaned on timely hitting to move past Boston. Aaron Judge went 4-for-11 with a .417 on-base percentage, and Anthony Volpe added a key home run and two RBIs. Ben Rice also chipped in with a homer, giving New York just enough punch even though Giancarlo Stanton was limited to one hit in 11 at-bats. The low run scoring by the Yankees matched the series itself — three close, low-scoring games where a single swing made the difference.

Pitching carried New York through. The staff allowed only seven total runs across three games, finishing with a shutout in the clincher. That steadiness puts less pressure on the bats and allows Judge and Volpe’s production to matter more. The bullpen was sharp in the Wild Card, and if it can repeat that in a longer series, the Yankees can hang with Toronto’s deeper lineup. The Yankees have not yet announced their starting pitcher for Game 1.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

Toronto comes in rested after winning the AL East. George Springer led the way with 32 home runs and a .309 average, while Bo Bichette added 181 hits and 94 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was steady as well, hitting .292 with strong power numbers. The Blue Jays’ lineup doesn’t rely on just one or two players; they have several bats who can produce runs.

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The Blue Jays ended the regular season on a strong note, winning five of their last six, including big wins against Tampa Bay. Daulton Varsho gave them late-season power with 20 home runs in only 71 games, while Alejandro Kirk added steady hitting. Toronto’s pitching was solid enough, posting a 1.27 team WHIP and 4.19 ERA. Toronto had a 54–27 home record during the regular season,

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Toronto has several more bats that can produce runs, while New York comes in tested from a tight Wild Card series. Game 1 should be close early, but Toronto’s being well rested and home record gives the Blue Jays the advantage. Final Score Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays win 5–3.