Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Picks and Predictions for Saturday, September 27, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/27/2025, 12:35 AM ET

The Texas Rangers visit the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday at Progressive Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:15 PM ET on FOX. Texas lost 4–0 on Thursday and sits at 80–79, third in the AL West. Cleveland lost 4–2 on Thursday and is 86–73, first in the AL Central. Texas has been eliminated from postseason contention, while Cleveland is first in the AL Central, but only by a tiebreaker over Detroit. Build your bankroll with our MLB free predictions.

Texas Rangers Preview

Texas starts right-hander Merrill Kelly (12–9, 3.52 ERA, 1.11 WHIP). Kelly has 167 strikeouts against 48 walks in 184.0 innings with 23 home runs allowed. Kelly’s steady control gives the right-hander a chance to work deep in the late innings most times out to keep pressure off the bullpen. The pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

The lineup has struggled down the stretch. The Rangers have dropped four of the last five games, scoring four runs or fewer in each. As a team, they hit .234 with a .303 on-base percentage and 172 homers. Adolis García leads with 74 RBI, while Wyatt Langford has 22 homers. Josh Smith’s .251 average and solid on-base percentage help put runners on base, but injuries to key hitters have thinned the order.

Cleveland Guardians Preview

Cleveland turns to left-hander Logan Allen (8–11, 4.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP) on Saturday. Allen’s 118 strikeouts and 60 walks in 152.1 innings show some inconsistency in finding the strike zone, but he has not been hit hard, with only 18 home runs allowed. The Guardians’ staff holds a 3.68 ERA and 1.27 WHIP, with a solid bullpen to come in late.

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José Ramírez drives the offense, leading in average (.284), home runs (30), and RBI (85). Steven Kwan is strong at lead-off with 169 hits. Cleveland’s team totals at the plate are .226/.296/.373 with 164 homers, but despite struggles as a team, the best hitters continue to produce in key spots. At home, the Guardians’ 43–35 is not the best but far from the worst.

Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Texas starter Kelly has been more reliable than Cleveland’s Allen this year, but Texas’ scoring has dropped, and injuries have thinned the lineup, making it hard to trust the Rangers on the road. Cleveland’s bats are not explosive, but Ramírez and Kwan give them enough to win this one at home. Final Score Prediction: Cleveland Guardians win 4–2.