Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Predictions for Friday April 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/17/2026, 01:05 AM ET

The Texas Rangers travel to face the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington on Friday, April 17, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 9:40 PM and coverage available on MLB.TV. The Mariners enter this matchup as the home favorite with a moneyline of -131, while the Rangers are listed at +109. The total is set at 6.5 runs, with the over priced at -112 and the under at -108. On the run line, Seattle is -1.5 (+179) while Texas sits at +1.5 (-219). This late-night matchup features two teams with different strengths as they look to gain momentum. Make sure to check out free MLB picks.

Starting Pitchers Breakdown

Texas will send Jacob deGrom to the mound, while Seattle will counter with Logan Gilbert. deGrom enters this matchup with a 1-0 record, a 2.87 ERA, and a 0.96 WHIP across 15.2 innings, allowing 11 hits while striking out 22 and walking 4, along with 3 home runs allowed. Gilbert has a 1-2 record with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 23.2 innings, allowing 22 hits while recording 25 strikeouts and issuing 4 walks, along with 2 home runs allowed.

Rangers Carrying Balanced Form into Seattle

Texas comes into this matchup with a 10-9 overall record and a strong 7-6 mark on the road. The Rangers have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently winning over Oakland in two games and also recently picking up a win against Los Angeles, while also recently losing to Oakland in consecutive games during that stretch.

Offensively, Texas is hitting .228 with 73 runs scored and 137 hits, along with 21 home runs. Their on-base percentage sits at .300 with a slugging percentage of .382. On the pitching side, the Rangers have posted a 3.42 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP, while allowing opponents to hit .224. They have issued 63 walks and recorded 176 strikeouts.

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One key strength for Texas has been their power production. With 21 home runs, they have been able to generate offense through extra-base hits even with a lower team batting average.

Mariners Relying on Pitching at Home

Seattle enters this contest with an 8-12 record but a strong 7-4 mark at home. The Mariners have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently winning over Houston in back-to-back contests but also recently losing to San Diego in consecutive games during that stretch.

At the plate, Seattle is hitting .209 with 76 runs scored and 129 hits, along with 17 home runs. Their on-base percentage is .319 with a slugging percentage of .340. On the pitching side, the Mariners have been solid, posting a 3.24 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP, while allowing opponents to hit .234. They have issued just 40 walks and recorded 159 strikeouts.

A major strength for Seattle has been their pitching efficiency. With a low ERA, a strong WHIP, and limited walks allowed, they have been effective at controlling opposing offenses.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Picks and Prediction

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Pick

Pick: Texas Rangers +1.5

Texas enters this matchup with a strong starting pitching performance and solid offensive power numbers. While Seattle has been effective on the mound, the Rangers’ ability to generate runs through power combined with their road performance makes them a strong candidate to keep this game close. Taking the run line provides value in a tightly contested matchup.

Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Total Pick

Pick: Under 6.5

I am leaning toward the under in this matchup because both teams have shown solid pitching numbers, particularly Seattle with a low ERA and WHIP. With the total set at just 6.5 and both teams having relatively low batting averages, this game projects to be a lower-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners 3 – Texas Rangers 2