Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions for Monday, May 4, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 05/04/2026, 01:05 AM ET

Blue Jays vs Rays Game Information

The Toronto Blue Jays will be on the road Monday night for game 1 of 3 in Saint Petersburg at 6:40 PM against the Tampa Bay Rays. Toronto has 16 wins and 18 losses coming into this matchup, having won 3 of the last 5 following a 1-run road loss to the Minnesota Twins. The Tampa Bay Rays stay home Monday night, 21 wins and 12 losses, having won 4 of the last 5, including 3 in a row after a 1-run extra-inning loss against the San Francisco Giants. Stay in the news with our MLB Picks.

Blue Jays Preview

Offensively, Toronto has been solid enough this season, with a 250 batting average. The Blue Jays have scored 140 runs on 278 hits. Toronto has a .313 OBP and a .388 team slugging percentage. The Toronto pitching has been lackluster, however, with a 4.23 team ERA. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto offense this season with a .333 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team with 9 home runs and 22 RBIs this season.

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay offense has been consistent this season, with a .250 batting average. The Rays have scored 145 runs on 270 hits. Tampa Bay has a .326 OBP and a .380 team slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay pitching has carried the team this season with a 3.85 team ERA, and Tampa Bay has allowed just 2 runs across its last 4 victories. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay offense this season with a .333 batting average. Jonathan Aranda has a .252 batting average along with a team-leading 28 RBI's. Junior Caminero has boasted a .264 batting average and leads the team with 9 home runs.

Blue Jays vs Rays Pitching Matchup

Eric Lauer will take the mound Monday night for Toronto. This year, Lauer has been terrible, posting a 1-3 record and a 6.00 ERA across 27 innings. Tampa Bay will counter with Nick Martinez. Martinez has been solid this season with a 2-1 record and a 1.70 ERA across 37 innings of action.

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Blue Jays vs Rays Sox Pick

Tampa Bay is a far better team in this matchup, and it will show from early on Monday. Look for the Rays to use their edge on both sides of the dish to overwhelm a terrible Toronto team. Take the Tampa Bay Rays to continue their winning ways Monday night at home as they get the win against a divisional foe to start the week.

Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -118
Secondary: Over 8
Lean: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 bases.

Final Score Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays win 8-4.