Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Picks and Predictions for Friday April 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/10/2026, 02:15 AM ET

The Dallas Mavericks will take on the San Antonio Spurs at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas on Friday, April 10, 2026, at 8:00 PM. The game will be broadcast on KFAA-TV, Mavs.com, and KENS 5. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This Western Conference matchup features a struggling road team facing one of the most dominant home teams in the league, and readers are encouraged to check out free NBA picks for more insights.

Dallas Trying to Compete on the Road

The Dallas Mavericks enter this matchup with a 25-55 record, including a 10-29 record on the road. Over their last five games, they have gone 1-4, recently losing to Phoenix, the Los Angeles Clippers, Orlando, and Milwaukee while picking up a win over the Los Angeles Lakers. This recent stretch highlights the inconsistency that has defined their season, particularly away from home where they have struggled to put together complete performances.

Statistically, Dallas is averaging 113.6 points per game while allowing 119.3 points. They shoot 47% from the field and collect 44.7 rebounds per game. The Mavericks average 25.1 assists, along with 5.2 blocks and 7.5 steals per contest. While their offensive production is respectable, their defensive numbers are a major concern, as they allow nearly 120 points per game.

The biggest weakness for Dallas in this matchup is their defense. Allowing 119.3 points per game puts them in a difficult position against teams that can score efficiently, as it requires them to consistently match or exceed that output.

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San Antonio’s Dominance on Home Floor

The San Antonio Spurs come into this game with a 61-19 record and an outstanding 31-7 record at home. Over their last five games, they have gone 4-1, recently winning against Portland, Philadelphia, the Los Angeles Clippers, and Golden State, with their only loss coming in overtime against Denver. Their recent play reflects a team operating at a high level on both ends of the floor.

From a statistical standpoint, San Antonio is averaging 119.6 points per game while allowing 111.2 points. They shoot 48% from the field and collect 47.0 rebounds per game. The Spurs also average 28.1 assists, along with 5.5 blocks and 7.6 steals per contest. These numbers demonstrate a well-rounded team that excels offensively while maintaining strong defensive efficiency.

San Antonio’s greatest strength in this matchup is their balance. They not only score at a high level but also limit opponents to 111.2 points per game, giving them a clear edge against a Dallas team that struggles defensively.

Mavericks vs Spurs Picks and Prediction

Mavericks vs Spurs Pick

Pick: San Antonio Spurs Moneyline

San Antonio has a clear advantage in this matchup, particularly when considering their dominant home record and strong overall statistics. They score more points per game, allow significantly fewer points, and have been far more consistent over their last five games. Dallas’ defensive struggles make it difficult to trust them against a team as efficient and balanced as San Antonio, especially on the road.

Mavericks vs Spurs Total Pick

Pick: Over (if set around 234)

I’m leaning toward the over in this game because both teams are capable of scoring at a high level, and Dallas allows nearly 120 points per game. San Antonio averages 119.6 points per game and should be able to generate offense consistently. With Dallas also averaging over 113 points per game, I would take the over if the total is set around 234.

Final Score Prediction: San Antonio Spurs 122 – Dallas Mavericks 110

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.