Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions for Sunday April 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/05/2026, 01:15 AM ET

The Houston Rockets travel to Chase Center in San Francisco, California, to take on the Golden State Warriors on April 5, 2026, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM. The game will be broadcast on NBC and Peacock. At the time of this writing the total was not released. Be sure to check out the latest free NBA picks before placing your wagers.

Rockets Riding Strong Form Into Road Test

The Houston Rockets come into this matchup with a 48-29 overall record and have been solid on the road with a 20-19 mark away from home. Over their last five games, Houston has been in outstanding form, recently winning over Utah, Milwaukee, New York, New Orleans, and Memphis. That five-game winning streak highlights a team that is playing with confidence and consistency on both ends of the floor.

From a statistical standpoint, Houston is averaging 114.4 points per game while allowing just 109.9 points per contest. They are shooting 48% from the field and pulling down an impressive 48.0 rebounds per game. The Rockets also average 25.3 assists, along with 5.8 blocks and 8.6 steals.

Houston’s biggest strength is their balance between offense and defense. Scoring over 114 points per game while allowing under 110 gives them a strong margin, and their rebounding advantage helps control possessions. This combination has been a key factor in their recent success.

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Warriors Looking to Respond at Home

The Golden State Warriors enter this game with a 36-41 overall record and have been competitive at home with a 21-17 mark at Chase Center. Over their last five games, Golden State has had mixed results, recently losing to Cleveland, San Antonio, and Denver while picking up wins over Washington and Brooklyn. That stretch shows a team capable of competing but still searching for consistency.

Statistically, the Warriors are averaging 114.8 points per game while allowing 115.1 points per contest. They are shooting 46% from the field and collecting 42.6 rebounds per game. Golden State also averages 29.0 assists, along with 4.3 blocks and 9.8 steals.

One of Golden State’s strengths is their ball movement, as they average 29.0 assists per game. This allows them to generate quality scoring opportunities. However, their defense, allowing over 115 points per game, can create challenges against strong offensive teams.

Rockets vs Warriors Picks and Prediction

Rockets vs Warriors Pick

Pick: Houston Rockets

Houston enters this matchup with a clear edge in recent form and defensive performance. They are allowing just 109.9 points per game compared to Golden State’s 115.1, which gives them an advantage in controlling the pace. Combined with their five-game winning streak and strong rebounding numbers, Houston is in a good position to cover the small spread.

Rockets vs Warriors Total Pick

Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 228.5

I would lean toward the over in this matchup because both teams are capable of scoring and play at a pace that can generate high totals. Houston is averaging over 114 points per game, while Golden State is close behind. With both defenses allowing over 109 points per game, this game has strong potential to reach a higher scoring range.

Final Score Prediction: Houston Rockets 118 – Golden State Warriors 114

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.