Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Picks and Prediction for Saturday February 28 2026

By: Eddie Kline Published 02/28/2026, 03:50 AM ET

Rockets Preview

In Saturday afternoon NBA action, the Houston Rockets will invade the Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat. For other NBA action see our NBA Predictions. The Rockets (37-21) are three games above .500 on the road and hold a half-game lead over Denver for third place in the Western Conference standings. On Thursday, Houston erased a ten-point halftime deficit to earn a 113-108 road victory against Orlando.

All-Star F Kevin Durant poured in a game-high 40 points on 14-for-28 shooting and grabbed eight rebounds. Reed Sheppard scored 20 points (5-7 3PT) in 31 minutes off the Houston bench. All-Star C Alperen Sengun added 16 points, six rebounds, and five assists for the Rockets.

Heat Preview

The Miami Heat have won 17 of their first 28 home games and trail Orlando by a game for seventh place in the Eastern Conference standings. The Heat (31-29) rank sixth in the league in defensive efficiency and are allowing 117.2 points per contest. On Thursday, Miami was outscored by 15 points during the second quarter of a 124-117 road loss against Philadelphia.

Miami F/C Bam Adebayo led all scorers with 29 points on 10-for-20 shooting and secured 14 boards. Tyler Herro scored 25 points on 9-for-18 from the floor in 32 minutes off the bench. Jaime Jaquez Jr. added 19 points and four rebounds for the Heat, who connected on 17-for-40 from long distance.

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Rockets vs Heat Pick

Miami G Norman Powell exited Thursday’s loss with a right groin strain and is listed as day-to-day. These two squads rank in the top six of the league defensively, so the under is worth a look. The stronger play is on the Heat to win at home as a small underdog. Final Score Prediction, Miami Heat win 114-109.