Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 1 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/01/2026, 12:25 AM ET

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN to face the Indiana Pacers on Sunday, March 1, 2026. Tip-off is set for 5:00 PM ET with television coverage on FanDuel SN IN. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NBA picks for more daily betting insight and expert analysis.

Grizzlies Searching for Road Stability

Memphis enters this matchup with a 22-36 overall record and a 10-18 mark on the road. The Grizzlies have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently winning at Dallas 124-105 and defeating Utah 123-114. However, they also dropped games to Golden State, Sacramento, and Miami during this stretch. Memphis has shown offensive capability but has struggled to string together consistent defensive performances.

The Grizzlies are averaging 115.4 points per game while allowing 117.9 points per contest. They are shooting 46% from the field and pulling down 44.5 rebounds per game. Memphis also averages 28.8 assists per game, which reflects solid ball movement, along with 5.0 blocks and 8.5 steals per contest.

One of Memphis’ strengths is its ability to create extra possessions. Averaging 8.5 steals per game and nearly 29 assists, the Grizzlies can generate offensive momentum quickly. However, their defensive numbers, allowing nearly 118 points per game, have been a consistent obstacle.

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Pacers Struggling to Find Answers

Indiana comes into Sunday’s contest with a 15-45 overall record and a 10-21 mark at home. The Pacers have lost five straight games, recently falling to Charlotte, Philadelphia, Dallas, and Washington twice. Defensive breakdowns and an inability to close out games have defined their recent stretch.

The Pacers are averaging 111.5 points per game while allowing 119.5 points per contest. They are shooting 45% from the field and grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game. Indiana also averages 26.3 assists, 4.7 blocks, and 7.5 steals per game.

Defense has been the biggest concern for Indiana, as they are surrendering nearly 120 points per game. While they can score in spurts, their defensive consistency has not been strong enough to keep pace with teams that push tempo.

Grizzlies vs Pacers Pick

Pick: Memphis Grizzlies Moneyline

Memphis holds advantages in scoring, rebounding, and overall defensive production compared to Indiana. While both teams have struggled defensively, the Grizzlies’ recent win at Dallas and slightly better overall record give them the edge. Against a Pacers team on a five-game losing streak, Memphis appears better positioned to control this matchup.

Grizzlies vs Pacers Total Pick

Pick: Over (if total is set at 230 or lower)

Both teams allow well over 115 points per game, and neither has shown consistent defensive resistance. Memphis averages 115.4 points per game, and Indiana’s defense has struggled significantly. I expect a fast-paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities on both ends.

Final Score Prediction: Grizzlies 121, Pacers 114

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Saturday.