Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 3 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/03/2026, 01:30 AM ET

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Minneapolis to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM at Target Center, and the game will be televised on FanDuel SN North. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. For more plays across tonight’s NBA slate, be sure to check out our latest free NBA picks for additional expert analysis.

Grizzlies Showing Offensive Flashes

Memphis enters this matchup at 23-36 overall and 11-18 on the road. The Grizzlies recently won over Indiana 125-106 and Dallas 124-105 but dropped games to Golden State 133-112 and Sacramento 123-114. They also lost at Miami 136-120. Memphis has struggled defensively but has shown the ability to score in bunches.

The Grizzlies are averaging 115.6 points per game while allowing 117.7 points per contest. They shoot 46% from the field and average 28.8 assists per game, indicating strong ball movement. Memphis also pulls down 44.5 rebounds per contest, keeping them competitive on the glass.

Defensively, Memphis averages 8.6 steals and 5.1 blocks per game, showing some rim protection and perimeter activity. However, giving up nearly 118 points per game has made it difficult to sustain momentum, particularly against elite offenses.

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Timberwolves Dominant at Home

Minnesota comes into this contest at 38-23 overall and 20-11 at home. The Timberwolves recently won over Denver 117-108, the Clippers 94-88, and Portland 124-121, while also earning a victory over Dallas 122-111. Their lone recent loss came against Philadelphia 135-108. Minnesota has been one of the stronger teams in the Western Conference.

The Timberwolves are averaging 119.2 points per game while allowing 114.6 points per contest. They shoot 48% from the field and collect 44.7 rebounds per game. Minnesota also averages 26.4 assists per contest, showcasing balanced offensive production.

Defensively, Minnesota averages 8.8 steals and 5.8 blocks per game. Their ability to protect the rim and push tempo at home has been a key factor in their success this season.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick

Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves - Spread

Minnesota’s offensive efficiency and home-court advantage give them the edge in this matchup. Memphis has struggled defensively, allowing nearly 118 points per game. I expect the Timberwolves to capitalize on those defensive lapses and pull away late.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Total Pick

Pick: Over (if total is set at 230 or lower)

Both teams average well over 115 points per game and allow high scoring totals. With Memphis pushing pace and Minnesota thriving offensively at home, I see this turning into a fast-paced, high-scoring contest. I’m leaning toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves 123, Grizzlies 114

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.