Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Friday January 30 2026
Grizzlies vs Pelicans picks take center stage in a rematch that comes just one week after New Orleans shocked Memphis on the road. That result shifted how the market views this matchup, especially with Memphis still searching for answers offensively. I am breaking this game down strictly from a betting perspective, and you can find more daily value plays with my NBA picks.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Spread Pick: Pelicans -3
- Total Pick: Over 233.5
- Projected Final Score: Pelicans 121, Grizzlies 116
Odds and Line Movement
Current Odds
| Team | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Memphis | +3 (-110) | Over 233.5 (-110) |
| New Orleans | -3 (-112) | Under 233.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Spread
| Date | Time | Memphis | New Orleans |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 29 | 06:11 PM | +1.5 (-114) | -1.5 (-106) |
| 01 29 | 06:20 PM | +2 (-110) | -2 (-110) |
| 01 29 | 10:09 PM | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-114) |
| 01 30 | 02:39 AM | +3 (-108) | -3 (-112) |
| 01 30 | 06:59 AM | +3 (-110) | -3 (-110) |
| 01 30 | 08:24 AM | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Time | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 29 | 06:11 PM | 235.5 (-110) | 235.5 (-110) |
| 01 29 | 08:22 PM | 235 (-106) | 235 (-114) |
| 01 29 | 10:25 PM | 235 (-110) | 235 (-110) |
| 01 30 | 07:57 AM | 233.5 (-108) | 233.5 (-112) |
| 01 30 | 08:26 AM | 233.5 (-110) | 233.5 (-110) |
Key Matchups and Game Preview
These teams just saw each other last week, and New Orleans walked into Memphis and left with a 133-127 upset win as a five-point underdog. That game exposed some of Memphis’ biggest issues without Ja Morant, especially in terms of shot creation and late-clock offense.
Saddiq Bey was the difference in that first meeting, scoring 36 points while knocking down six three-pointers. Since that game, the Pelicans have continued to play competitive basketball, covering the spread in two straight and showing they can hang even as underdogs.
Memphis, on the other hand, is trending the wrong way. The Grizzlies have lost four straight games, including a 15-point home loss to Charlotte. Jaylen Wells and Cam Spencer combined for just ten points on Wednesday, highlighting how difficult it has been to replace Morant’s production.
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Both teams are on the front end of a back-to-back, but New Orleans appears better positioned. The Pelicans are healthier and have posted a stronger net rating and offensive rating than Memphis over the last ten games.
Betting Trends for MEM and NOP
Five of the last six meetings between these teams have gone over the total. New Orleans has covered the spread in each of its last two games, while Memphis has failed to cover during its four-game losing streak.
Key Injuries and Things To Know for MEM and NOP
- Santi Aldama is expected to miss this game for Memphis.
- No players are listed on New Orleans’ early injury report.
- Both teams are on the front leg of a back-to-back.
Side and Over and Under Picks
- Side: Pelicans -3
- Over and Under: Over 233.5
Final Score Prediction
New Orleans’ offensive balance and healthier rotation should be enough to secure another win in this matchup.
Final Score: Pelicans 121, Grizzlies 116
How to Wager On Grizzlies vs Pelicans
This matchup offers solid value on both the side and total if you shop around. Always compare numbers using current sportsbook promos and line shop across the best betting sites.
Bettors can also take advantage of offers like the Betmgm bonus code or explore alternatives such as the Novig promo code. If you prefer different formats, check out free betting apps, the Thrillz promo code, or available Sweepstakes casino promos.
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