Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Picks and Predictions for Thursday, December 25, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 12/25/2025, 12:00 AM ET

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-10, fifth in the Western Conference) play the Denver Nuggets (21-8, third in the Western Conference) on Thursday. Minnesota enters after wins over the Knicks and Bucks, while Denver is coming off a 131-130 road loss to Dallas. This Christmas Day matchup is part of today’s free NBA picks.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game Information

Date: Thursday, December 25
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV: ABC

Minnesota Timberwolves Preview

Minnesota’s scoring starts with Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 28.3 points per game while shooting 48.6% from the field and 40.4% from three. Julius Randle adds 22.5 points per game and 5.6 assists, giving Minnesota its second-best scoring option. As a team, the Timberwolves shoot 47.7% from the field and 37.2% from three-point range, with most of the offense coming from guard drives and kick-outs.

Defensively, Minnesota relies on Rudy Gobert to control the paint. Gobert averages a team-high 10.9 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game and is the primary rim defender. The Timberwolves limit second-chance points by rebounding well and keeping opponents out of the lane. Injury note: Jaden McDaniels and Joe Ingles are listed as game-time decisions.

Key Stats Per Game

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Points: 118.6
Points Allowed: 113.5
Rebounds: 44.4
Assists: 26.4
Steals: 8.4
Blocks: 5.0

Denver Nuggets Preview

Denver’s offense runs through Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 28.9 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 10.8 assists per game to lead the Nuggets in each of the three categories, while shooting 60.7% from the field and 42.5% from three. Jamal Murray averages 24.9 points per game and shoots 45.8% from three, giving Denver an excellent scoring option on the perimeter. As a team, the Nuggets shoot 51.3% from the field and 40.3% from three, moving the ball to create open shots.

Defensively, Denver focuses on positioning and rebounding. Jokic leads the team on the glass, and Peyton Watson averages 1.1 blocks per game as the primary shot blocker. The Nuggets play tough defense on the perimeter and force tough shots late in the shot clock. Injury note: Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun are out, while Cameron Johnson is listed as a game-time decision.

Key Stats Per Game

Points: 125.1
Points Allowed: 116.5
Rebounds: 44.4
Assists: 29.5
Steals: 7.3
Blocks: 3.9

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Denver has the more consistent scoring and shoots at a higher rate from both the field and beyond the three-point line. Minnesota can stay close if Edwards can establish a scoring rhythm and Gobert controls the paint, but Denver’s ball movement, shooting, and advantage playing at home give the Nuggets the edge. Final Score Prediction: Denver Nuggets win and cover ATS, 125-117. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on the Timberwolves. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Nuggets with the Onyx Odds promo code. Getting the most out of your bets on Nuggets vs Timberwolves can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.