Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions for Friday March 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/13/2026, 12:05 AM ET

The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to face the Golden State Warriors on Friday, March 13, 2026, at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with television coverage on Prime Video and NBC Sports Bay Area. Minnesota enters the matchup favored with odds listed at -230 on the moneyline while Golden State sits at +190. The spread is Minnesota -6.5 and the total for the game is set at 227.5 points. Be sure to check out our free NBA picks for more daily betting insights and predictions.

Timberwolves Bringing Balanced Production on the Road

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter this matchup with a 40-26 overall record and an 18-14 record on the road this season. Minnesota has been one of the stronger teams in the Western Conference throughout the year thanks to its balanced scoring and consistent defensive effort.

Minnesota is averaging 118.6 points per game while allowing 115.1 points per contest this season. The Timberwolves are shooting 48% from the field while averaging 44.3 rebounds and 26.2 assists per game. Defensively they also contribute 5.6 blocks and 8.7 steals per game, showing their ability to generate pressure and disrupt opposing offenses.

A key strength for Minnesota has been their ability to score efficiently while also protecting the rim. The Timberwolves’ combination of interior defense and efficient shooting makes them a difficult matchup, particularly against teams that struggle defensively.

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Warriors Trying to End Recent Slide

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with a 32-33 overall record and a 19-14 mark at home this season. Golden State has struggled recently, having recently lost to Chicago 130-124 in overtime, lost to Utah 119-116, lost to Oklahoma City 104-97, won over Houston 115-113 in overtime, and lost to the LA Clippers 114-101.

The Warriors are averaging 115.2 points per game while allowing 114.2 points per contest this season. Golden State is shooting 46% from the field while averaging 43.1 rebounds and an impressive 29.2 assists per game, highlighting their ball movement and offensive style. Defensively they contribute 4.4 blocks and 9.9 steals per game.

Golden State’s biggest strength continues to be its offensive system built around passing and spacing. The Warriors’ high assist numbers show how well they move the ball, but defensive inconsistencies have made it difficult for them to close out games during their recent losing stretch.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Pick

Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5

Minnesota has been the more consistent team this season and enters this matchup with a significantly stronger overall record. The Timberwolves’ ability to score efficiently and protect the rim should give them the edge against a Warriors team that has struggled defensively in recent games. Minnesota’s balanced attack should allow them to pull away late and cover the spread.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Total Pick

Over 227.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams have the ability to score in bunches and neither defense has been particularly dominant this season. The Warriors play at a fast pace and rely heavily on ball movement and perimeter scoring, while Minnesota’s efficient offense should keep the scoreboard moving throughout the night.

Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves 118, Golden State Warriors 112

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.