Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Picks and Predictions for Friday April 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 04/10/2026, 01:40 AM ET

The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas on Friday, April 10, 2026, at 9:30 PM. The game will be available on Prime Video. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. This Western Conference matchup features two teams heading in different directions in recent form, and readers are encouraged to check out free NBA picks for more daily insights.

Minnesota’s Recent Struggles on the Road

The Minnesota Timberwolves enter this game with a 47-33 record and a 22-18 mark on the road. Over their last five games, they have gone 1-4, recently losing to Orlando, Charlotte, Philadelphia, and Detroit while picking up a win over Indiana. This recent stretch highlights a team that has struggled to maintain consistency, particularly on the defensive side, where they have allowed multiple high-scoring performances.

Statistically, Minnesota is averaging 117.6 points per game while allowing 114.3 points. They shoot 48% from the field and collect 44.3 rebounds per game. The Timberwolves also average 26.0 assists, along with 5.7 blocks and 8.8 steals per contest. These numbers suggest a team that is capable offensively but has shown some inconsistency in limiting opposing scoring.

One notable concern for Minnesota is their recent defensive form. While their season average is 114.3 points allowed, their recent losses have come in games where opponents have scored well above that number, indicating potential issues in sustaining defensive pressure.

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Houston’s Dominant Stretch at Home

The Houston Rockets come into this matchup with a 50-29 record and an impressive 28-10 record at home. Over their last five games, they have gone a perfect 5-0, recently winning over Phoenix, Golden State, Utah, Milwaukee, and New York. Their recent form reflects a team that is playing with confidence, particularly on their home floor where they have been difficult to beat.

From a statistical perspective, Houston is averaging 114.8 points per game while allowing just 109.9 points. They shoot 48% from the field and dominate the glass with 48.0 rebounds per game. The Rockets also average 25.4 assists, along with 5.8 blocks and 8.5 steals per contest. Their defensive numbers stand out as a key strength in this matchup.

Houston’s biggest advantage in this game is their defensive efficiency. Allowing just 109.9 points per game gives them a clear edge against a Minnesota team that has struggled defensively in recent games.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Picks and Prediction

Timberwolves vs Rockets Pick

Pick: Houston Rockets Moneyline

Houston enters this matchup with strong momentum, having won five straight games, and they hold a significant advantage at home with a 28-10 record. Their defensive numbers are also superior, allowing fewer points per game than Minnesota. While Minnesota has the ability to score, their recent inconsistency and defensive concerns make Houston the more reliable side.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Total Pick

Pick: Under (if set around 230)

I’m leaning toward the under in this game because Houston’s defense has been consistent, allowing just 109.9 points per game. While Minnesota averages 117.6 points, their recent struggles could limit their offensive efficiency against a strong defensive team. With Houston also not being the highest-scoring team, I would take the under if the total is set around 230.

Final Score Prediction: Houston Rockets 113 – Minnesota Timberwolves 106

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.