Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen Picks and Predictions for Sunday, December 7, 2025
Air Force travels to Annapolis for a service-academy showdown against Navy inside Alumni Hall. Tipoff is set for 12:00 PM ET on ESPN+. Navy enters at 5–5 (2–1 home), while Air Force comes in at 3–7 (0–1 away) and searching for stability after a tough stretch. Before diving in, make sure you grab today’s Free College Basketball Picks.
Air Force Falcons Preview
Air Force has dropped three straight and is struggling to generate consistent scoring. They average 67.2 PPG, but their defensive issues are glaring—allowing 74.8 PPG while getting outmuscled on the boards in most matchups.
Their offense runs through L. Hobin (13.0 PPG), a crafty shooter who also leads the team in late-clock scoring. But efficiency remains a major concern:
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37.2% FG shooting is too low for a primary option.
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Air Force ranks near the bottom in rebounding (31.8 per game).
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They struggle to defend interior penetration and strong guard play.
The Falcons’ two wins in their last five came against lesser competition, and they looked overwhelmed in their losses to South Dakota and Pacific. Unless they control tempo and hit from deep, they’re at a disadvantage.
Navy Midshipmen Preview
Navy is the stronger and more balanced team here, boasting a defense-first identity and enough scoring stability to grind opponents down. They have won three of their last five and are coming off a confidence-boosting 66–59 road win over Delaware State.
Their anchor is A. Benigni (16.0 PPG), who brings toughness and elite free-throw shooting (88.1%) to close out games. Navy’s strengths stand out clearly:
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73.1 PPG on solid efficiency
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70.5 PPG allowed, showing real defensive discipline
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Balanced rebounding and better ball movement (13.8 assists per game)
When Navy controls pace—shortening possessions and forcing opponents to work through the half-court—they often dictate the entire flow of the game.
Air Force vs Navy Pick
I’m rolling with Navy at home. Air Force has too many holes defensively, and they struggle to score consistently against teams with strong structure and discipline—exactly what Navy brings.
Benigni should be the best player on the floor, and Navy’s superior rebounding and defensive communication give them a major edge. Air Force’s lack of bench scoring and interior resistance is likely to show up early.
Navy is simply more reliable, more physical, and better coached in late-game situations. In Annapolis, they should control the tempo from tip to final buzzer. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Air Force with the Thrillz promo code. Make the most of your bets on Navy by using the sportsbook promos. Make sure when you place your Air Force vs Navy bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.
My pick: Navy wins and covers at home.
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