Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026
Baylor travels to Orlando for a Big 12 matchup at Addition Financial Arena on Saturday night. The Bears are 14-14 overall and 4-11 in conference play, sitting 14th in the Big 12 after an 87-80 loss to Arizona in their last outing. UCF is 20-7 overall and 9-6 in conference play, currently 6th in the Big 12 following a 97-84 road win over BYU. Find out who has the edge in our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 28
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
- TV: FS1
Baylor Bears Preview
Baylor averages 82.5 points per game while shooting 47.9% from the field and 34.7% from three-point range. Cameron Carr is the leading scorer, averaging 18.9 points and grabs an average of 5.6 rebounds per contest, while Tounde Yessoufou adds 17.9 points and 5.6 rebounds per game to give Baylor another consistent scoring option. Obi Agbim contributes 11.0 points and a team-high 3.1 assists per contest to handle backcourt duties, and Caden Powell pulls down 6.4 rebounds per game in the paint. The Bears average 37.3 rebounds and 15.5 assists per game. On defense, Baylor allows 76.7 points per contest and has had difficulty making stops late in games.
Injury Report: JJ White, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Andre Iguodala II, Maikcol Perez, and Mayo Soyoye are out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 82.5
- Points Allowed: 76.7
- Rebounds: 37.3
- Assists: 15.5
- Steals: 6.5
- Blocks: 4.4
- Turnovers: 11.7
UCF Knights Preview
UCF is averaging 82.0 points per game while shooting 47.7% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc. Themus Fulks paces the Knights with averages of 14.3 points and 6.9 assists per contest, directing the offense and creating opportunities in transition. Riley Kugel adds 14.0 points per game as a perimeter scorer, while Jamichael Stillwell contributes 11.9 points and a team-high 8.0 rebounds per contest to anchor the frontcourt. UCF averages 36.9 rebounds and 16.3 assists per game. Defensively, the Knights give up 77.4 points per contest and generate 5.6 steals per game.
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Injury Report: Tanner Jones and Riley Kugel are out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 82.0
- Points Allowed: 77.4
- Rebounds: 36.9
- Assists: 16.3
- Steals: 5.6
- Blocks: 2.9
- Turnovers: 11.5
Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights Prediction
Both teams average more than 82 points per game, but UCF enters with three straight wins and the home-court advantage. With Fulks controlling tempo and Stillwell providing rebounding support, the Knights match up well against a Baylor defense allowing 76.7 points per game. UCF’s balance on offense will be enough to hold off the Bears. UCF wins and covers ATS. Final Score Prediction: UCF Knights 85-79.
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