Colorado State Rams vs Boise State Broncos Picks and Predictions for Friday January 16 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/16/2026, 12:35 AM ET

The Colorado State Rams hit the road to face the Boise State Broncos on Friday, January 16, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 10:30 PM EST at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, Idaho. This late-night Mountain West matchup will be broadcast on FS1. Boise State enters as a 6.5-point home favorite (-105), while Colorado State is listed at +6.5 (-115). The total for the game is set at 141.5 points, with both the over and under priced at -110. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more analysis and daily betting insight.

Colorado State Rams: Trying to Rebound Away From Home

Colorado State comes into this matchup with an 11-6 overall record and has been tested in recent road games. In their last five contests, the Rams have picked up wins over UNLV and Grand Canyon, while suffering losses to Fresno State, New Mexico, and Nevada, including a recent road defeat at Fresno State.

From a statistical standpoint, Colorado State is averaging 78.9 points per game while allowing 71.9 points per game. The Rams are shooting an efficient 50% from the field, adding 33.5 rebounds per game, and distributing the ball well with 16.1 assists per contest.

One of Colorado State’s strengths is its offensive efficiency. Shooting 50% as a team allows the Rams to stay competitive even when the pace slows, and their ability to execute in the half court has kept them in most games this season.

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Boise State Broncos: Home Court Advantage in Boise

Boise State enters the game with a 9-8 overall record and will look to take advantage of playing at home in a tough late-night environment. While detailed recent results are limited, the Broncos have shown they can be competitive in Mountain West play and are trusted by oddsmakers as a solid home favorite.

Although full team statistics are not listed, Boise State’s profile as a defensive-oriented program typically shows through in lower-scoring games and strong home performances at ExtraMile Arena.

The Broncos’ biggest edge in this matchup is playing at home, where their physical style and crowd support often disrupt opposing offenses and force teams into uncomfortable possessions.

Colorado State Rams vs Boise State Broncos Pick

Pick: Colorado State Rams +6.5

I am taking the points with Colorado State because the Rams have been the more efficient offensive team overall and have shown they can compete on the road against quality opponents. Getting more than two possessions in what should be a controlled, half-court game provides solid value.

Colorado State Rams vs Boise State Broncos Total Pick

Pick: Under 141.5

I am backing the under here because Boise State games at home tend to be slower-paced and defensively focused, and Colorado State is comfortable winning without pushing the tempo. That combination points to a game that stays below the total.

Final Score Prediction:

Boise State 70, Colorado State 66

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