Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026
Duquesne heads to UD Arena riding a five-game winning streak and holding a 16-10 overall record, sitting tied for fourth in the A-10 standings at 8-5 in conference play. The Dukes have won those five games by controlling tempo late and making key defensive stops. Dayton is 17-9 overall and also 8-5 in the A-10, tied with Duquesne in the standings, and the Flyers are coming off back-to-back wins over George Mason and Davidson. With both teams level in conference play, this matchup is important as the regular season is coming to a close. Take a winner to the window with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 21
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- Location: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
- TV: ESPN+
Duquesne Dukes
Duquesne averages 81.6 points per game and has one of the strongest offenses in the A-10. Tarence Guinyard averages 16.4 points per game as the leading scorer and also averages 5.0 assists per game to guide the attack. Jimmie Williams averages 15.8 points per game as the second leading scorer and adds 1.7 steals per game to pressure opponents. Jakub Necas averages 5.4 rebounds per game to lead the team on the glass, while David Dixon averages 1.5 blocks per game to anchor the paint. The Dukes shoot 47% from the field and average 16.0 assists per game, numbers that reflect a balanced scoring approach rather than reliance on one scoring option.
Injury Report: Duquesne has no injuries.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 81.6
- Points Allowed: 75.8
- Rebounds: 35.7
- Assists: 16.0
- Steals: 8.0
- Blocks: 2.8
- Turnovers: 13.0
Dayton Flyers
Dayton averages 76.1 points per game and allows an average of 71.2, leaning more on defense to set the tone, especially when playing at home. Javon Bennett averages 16.0 points per game as the leading scorer and also averages 3.2 assists per game as the playmaker. De'Shayne Montgomery averages 14.7 points per game as the second-leading scorer and leads the team with 2.6 steals per game, creating transition chances. Amaël L'Etang averages team highs with 5.6 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game, giving the Flyers an interior presence on both ends. Dayton averages 9.0 steals per game, often turning defensive pressure into quick transition points.
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Injury Report: Evan Dickey is questionable, and Javon McKie is out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 76.1
- Points Allowed: 71.2
- Rebounds: 32.9
- Assists: 14.3
- Steals: 9.0
- Blocks: 4.2
- Turnovers: 12.1
Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers Prediction
Both teams share identical conference records, but the contrast in style stands out. Duquesne averages over 81 points per game and is comfortable in higher-scoring contests, while Dayton allows just 71.2 points per game and thrives when games slow down. The Flyers’ defensive pressure, particularly with Montgomery on the perimeter and L'Etang protecting the rim, matches up well against a Dukes team that can be turnover-prone. With Dayton playing at home and with the better defense, the advantage is with the Flyers in a tight A-10 battle. Final Score Prediction: Dayton Flyers win, 77-70.
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