Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 8 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 03/08/2026, 03:45 AM ET

The Fairfield Stags and Siena Saints meet in the MAAC Championship Semifinal on Sunday, March 8, 2026 at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Both teams advanced through the quarterfinal round and now battle for a spot in the MAAC Championship Game. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert predictions and analysis on today’s biggest college basketball games.

Fairfield Carrying Tournament Confidence

The Fairfield Stags enter the semifinal matchup with a 21-12 overall record and an 11-9 mark in MAAC play. Fairfield advanced through the quarterfinal round with a 74-55 win over Saint Peter’s, following a strong close to the regular season. In their recent stretch Fairfield recently won over Saint Peter’s, recently won over Manhattan, recently lost to Mount St. Mary’s, recently won over Siena, and recently won over Quinnipiac.

Fairfield has shown balance throughout the season, averaging 74.8 points per game while allowing 71.4 points per contest. The Stags shoot 43% from the field, average 38.6 rebounds per game, and record 12.2 assists per contest. Defensively the team contributes 3.5 blocks and 6.7 steals per game, which helps create additional possessions and transition opportunities.

In the quarterfinal victory over Saint Peter’s, Brandon Benjamin delivered a dominant performance with 26 points and 15 rebounds, leading Fairfield in both scoring and rebounding. That performance helped the Stags control the glass 45-36 and maintain offensive pressure throughout the game. The key tournament angle for Fairfield is their rebounding edge, which could prove critical in another physical MAAC tournament matchup.

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Siena Building Momentum at the Right Time

The Siena Saints come into the semifinal with a 21-11 overall record and a 13-7 record in MAAC play. Siena advanced to this round with a 63-58 win over Mount St. Mary’s in the quarterfinal. In their recent stretch the Saints recently won over Mount St. Mary’s, recently won over Rider, recently lost to Fairfield, recently won over Saint Peter’s, and recently lost to Merrimack in overtime.

Siena has been a defensive-minded team this season, averaging 70.8 points per game while allowing just 66.2 points per contest. The Saints shoot 46% from the field, average 33.6 rebounds per game, and record 13.2 assists per contest. Defensively the team contributes 2.9 blocks and 6.0 steals per game, allowing them to slow down opponents and keep games close.

In the quarterfinal win over Mount St. Mary’s, Brendan Coyle led Siena with 17 points and also grabbed 9 rebounds, leading the team in both scoring and rebounding. The Saints won despite shooting only 36% from the field, relying instead on defense and efficient free-throw shooting to secure the victory. The key tournament angle for Siena is their defensive discipline, which allowed them to hold Mount St. Mary’s to 33% shooting in the quarterfinal.

Fairfield Stags vs Siena Saints Pick

Fairfield vs Siena Spread Pick

Fairfield Stags Moneyline

Fairfield enters this semifinal with strong momentum and a clear advantage on the boards. The Stags dominated the glass in their quarterfinal matchup and have consistently shown the ability to create second-chance scoring opportunities. Siena has been strong defensively, but Fairfield’s rebounding edge and balanced scoring attack could make the difference in a competitive semifinal matchup. If Brandon Benjamin continues to control the paint, the Stags should have a strong chance to reach the championship game.

Fairfield vs Siena Total Pick

Under

I like the under in this matchup because Siena tends to slow the tempo and rely on defense to control games. The Saints allow just 66.2 points per game, and their quarterfinal win over Mount St. Mary’s finished with only 121 total points. Fairfield can score, but the physical nature of MAAC tournament games often leads to slower possessions and tougher defensive battles. With both teams emphasizing defense and rebounding, I expect a lower-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction: Fairfield Stags 68, Siena Saints 63

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