Georgia State Panthers vs Georgia Southern Eagles Picks & Predictions for Thursday December 18 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/18/2025, 01:30 AM ET

The Georgia State Panthers travel to Statesboro to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles on Thursday, December 18, 2025. This Sun Belt matchup tips at 8:00 PM ET from the Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center, and you can watch it live on ESPN+. If you’re looking for more daily plays, here are free college basketball picks.

Georgia State Panthers: Can the Panthers Build Off Their Last Win?

Georgia State enters this one at 2-9 and is listed as 0-0 in the Sun Belt so far. The Panthers did snap some negative momentum in their last game with a 77-73 win over Jacksonville State on 12/13/25, but their overall recent stretch has been rough with losses to Kennesaw State (92-69), Mercer (78-67), New Mexico State (77-58), and Samford (78-63).

The team numbers show where the uphill climb is coming from. Georgia State is scoring 65.3 PPG while allowing 76.5 PPG, and the shooting has been a major issue at 35% from the field. They do rebound at 35.8 per game, but the offense hasn’t had enough flow with 10.4 assists, while contributing 7.0 steals and 2.8 blocks.

Their season scoring leader is Micah Tucker, putting up 12.1 PPG on 41.0% shooting, and he’s been reliable at the stripe at 84.8% FT. If Georgia State is going to hang around here, Tucker usually needs to be the steady source of points.

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Georgia Southern Eagles: The Eagles Are Rolling Into Sun Belt Play

Georgia Southern comes in at 8-5 and also sits 0-0 in the Sun Belt, but they’ve been one of the hotter teams on the board lately with a five-game winning streak. In their last five, they’ve beaten West Georgia (91-85), Coastal GA (100-58), Gardner-Webb (88-84), Louisiana Tech (77-69), and Houston Christian (80-62). The preview also notes Georgia State is visiting after Webb’s 20-point game, so Georgia Southern has form and confidence right now.

From a stats perspective, the Eagles have been much more productive offensively: 82.6 PPG scored, though they do allow 78.7 PPG. They shoot 45% from the field, rebound at 35.2 per game, and average 12.0 assists. Defensively, they create action with 8.9 steals and add 3.6 blocks, which helps them keep pressure on opponents.

The go-to scorer is Spudd Webb, who leads Georgia Southern with 16.0 PPG while shooting 53.4% from the floor and 80.6% at the line. With Georgia State struggling to score efficiently, Webb’s shot-making edge is a big separator in this matchup.

Key Points To Watch For

Georgia Southern’s momentum: The Eagles are on a W5 streak, while Georgia State is just 2-9 overall despite winning its last game.
Shooting gap: Georgia State is at 35% FG, while Georgia Southern sits at 45% FG — that’s a massive difference over 40 minutes.
Scoring profiles: Georgia State averages 65.3 PPG, Georgia Southern averages 82.6 PPG, which supports why the Eagles are laying points.
Pace/total: With a total around 157.5, you’re betting on whether Georgia State can contribute enough scoring to help push it there.

Georgia State Panthers vs Georgia Southern Eagles Pick

My best pick is Georgia Southern -9.5. I’m backing the Eagles because they’ve been the far more consistent team, they’re riding a five-game win streak, and the efficiency gap (Georgia State 35% FG) is hard to ignore. I think Georgia Southern’s ability to score at 82.6 PPG gives them a clear path to building separation.

My lean is Georgia State team total Under (based on the idea that Georgia State averages only 65.3 PPG and shoots 35%). I can’t quote an exact team total line because it wasn’t provided, but conceptually I’d rather fade Georgia State’s scoring than trust them to keep up in a game with this kind of pace and spread.

If Georgia Southern plays to its current level and Georgia State’s shooting issues show up again, this should look like an Eagles-controlled game for most of the night. Betting on sports and on Georgia State is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Georgia Southern with the social sportsbooks. Getting the most out of your bets on Georgia State vs Georgia Southern can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

Final Score Prediction:

Georgia Southern 86, Georgia State 72

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