Grand Canyon Lopes vs San Diego State Aztecs Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, February 17, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 02/17/2026, 12:20 AM ET

Grand Canyon travels to San Diego to face San Diego State on Tuesday night. The Lopes are 16-9 overall and 9-5 in Mountain West play, which is fourth, after a 94-79 win at San Jose State. San Diego State is 18-6 overall and 12-2 in conference action, which leads the conference, following a 71-57 win over Nevada. Build your bankroll with our free college basketball picks.

Game Information

  • Date: Tuesday, February 17
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Location: Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
  • TV: CBSSN

Grand Canyon Lopes Outlook

Grand Canyon averages 75.3 points per game, while shooting 45% from the field, and allows an average of 68.8. Jaden Henley leads the Lopes with an average of 17.3 points and 2.8 assists per game. Nana Owusu-Anane anchors the interior with a team-high average of 8.6 rebounds per game and adds 9.4 points, giving Grand Canyon second-chance opportunities. Makaih Williams is the second-leading scorer, averaging 13.4 points per game, stretching defenses from the perimeter.

Defensively, Henley averages 1.6 steals, and Dennis Evans contributes 1.2 blocks per contest. The Lopes average 36.4 rebounds and 12.6 assists per game, but must limit turnovers (12.2 per game) against San Diego State’s pressure. Caleb Shaw is out.

Key Stats – Per Game

  • Points: 75.3
  • Points Allowed: 68.8
  • Field Goal %: 45%
  • Rebounds: 36.4
  • Assists: 12.6
  • Steals: 6.9
  • Blocks: 3.6
  • Turnovers: 12.2

San Diego State Aztecs Outlook

San Diego State averages 79.8 points per game, on 48% shooting from the field, and allows an average of 69.3 points per game. Reese Dixon-Waters leads the Aztecs with an average of 12.7 points per game, while BJ Davis averages 10.9 points as the second-leading scorer. Miles Heide controls the glass with 5.0 rebounds per game and contributes 5.7 points inside. Taj DeGourville directs the offense with 2.8 assists per contest.

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Miles Byrd averages 2.1 steals and 1.1 blocks, supporting a defense that generates 8.5 steals per game and holds opponents under 70 points. San Diego State averages 35.6 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game, showing balanced production on both ends. Magoon Gwath and Elzie Harrington are questionable.

Key Stats – Per Game

  • Points: 79.8
  • Points Allowed: 69.3
  • Field Goal %: 48%
  • Rebounds: 35.6
  • Assists: 15.8
  • Steals: 8.5
  • Blocks: 4.6
  • Turnovers: 12.3

Grand Canyon Lopes vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

San Diego State’s 48% shooting and 15.8 assists per game create consistent half-court execution by the Aztecs, while Grand Canyon averages 12.2 turnovers and faces pressure from a defense that creates 8.5 steals per game. The Aztecs’ shooting and defensive play will provide an advantage that the Lopes will not overcome. Final Score Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs win and cover ATS, 79-65.

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