High Point Panthers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 21 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/21/2026, 12:35 AM ET

The High Point Panthers and Arkansas Razorbacks meet in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship West Region Second Round at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon, with tip-off scheduled for 9:45 PM ET on truTV and TBS. High Point enters as the No. 12 seed after pulling off a thrilling First Round upset, while No. 4 seed Arkansas comes in with strong momentum following a dominant performance. Arkansas is an 11.5-point favorite with a total set at 168.5, while the Razorbacks sit at -700 on the moneyline and High Point comes back at +500. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert analysis and betting opportunities.

Panthers Look to Continue Cinderella Run

High Point comes into this matchup with an outstanding 31-4 overall record and an 18-1 mark in Big South play, establishing themselves as one of the top mid-major teams in the country. The Panthers advanced to the Second Round with a dramatic 83-82 win over Wisconsin, showing resilience and offensive firepower in a tight contest. Over their last five games, High Point has recently won over Wisconsin, Winthrop, UNC Asheville, Gardner-Webb, and Presbyterian, entering this game on a significant winning streak.

On the season, High Point has been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the nation, averaging 89.8 points per game while allowing 70.6 points per contest. They shoot an efficient 49% from the field and average 36.5 rebounds and 16.3 assists per game, showcasing strong offensive balance. Defensively, they generate an impressive 10.7 steals per game along with 3.9 blocks, highlighting their ability to create turnovers and push tempo. Their high-paced style has been a key factor in their success.

In their First Round victory, Rob Martin led the way with 23 points and also contributed 10 assists, orchestrating the offense at a high level. Terry Anderson dominated the glass with 11 rebounds, helping High Point secure a 40-37 rebounding advantage. The Panthers knocked down 15 three-pointers and shot 38% from beyond the arc, which was critical in pulling off the upset. A key tournament-specific angle here is High Point’s offensive efficiency and ability to generate turnovers, but their defense will be tested against a high-powered Arkansas offense. If they can maintain their pace and shooting, they could stay competitive.

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Razorbacks Bring Firepower and Physicality

Arkansas enters the contest with a 27-8 overall record and a 16-5 mark in SEC play, proving themselves against elite competition throughout the season. The Razorbacks advanced with a convincing 97-78 win over Hawai’i, showcasing their offensive firepower and depth. Over their last five games, Arkansas has recently won over Hawai’i, Vanderbilt, Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Missouri, riding a strong winning streak into this matchup.

Statistically, Arkansas has been one of the highest-scoring teams in the country, averaging 90.1 points per game while allowing 80.0 points per contest. They shoot 50% from the field and contribute 36.2 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game, demonstrating excellent offensive efficiency and ball movement. Defensively, they add 7.3 steals and 5.1 blocks per game, though their points allowed suggests they can be vulnerable in high-scoring contests. Their ability to outpace opponents offensively has been a defining trait.

In their First Round win, Darius Acuff Jr. led the team with 24 points while also adding 7 assists, controlling the tempo of the game. Malique Ewin led Arkansas in rebounding with 12 boards, helping the Razorbacks dominate the glass 41-31. Arkansas shot an impressive 54% from the field and 88% from the free throw line, showing efficiency across the board. The key tournament-specific angle here is Arkansas’ offensive efficiency and physical presence inside, which could create problems for a High Point team that prefers a fast-paced, perimeter-oriented game. If Arkansas controls the paint and limits second-chance opportunities, they will be in a strong position.

High Point Panthers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Pick

High Point Panthers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Pick

Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks -11.5

Arkansas’ offensive efficiency and physical presence give them a clear edge in this matchup. While High Point has been impressive and can score at a high level, the Razorbacks’ ability to dominate inside and control the boards should create separation. Arkansas has also shown consistency against stronger competition, which makes them the safer side to cover the spread.

High Point Panthers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Total Pick

Pick: Over 168.5

I like the over in this game because both teams play at a fast pace and have the ability to score in bunches. High Point’s perimeter shooting combined with Arkansas’ efficient offense should lead to plenty of scoring opportunities. With both teams comfortable playing in high-scoring games, I expect this total to go over.

Final Score Prediction: Arkansas Razorbacks 92, High Point Panthers 78

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