Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/10/2026, 01:20 AM ET

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks face the New Mexico State Aggies in the CUSA Championship First Round at Propst Arena in Huntsville, Alabama on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET and the game will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and expert analysis.

Gamecocks Rely on Defense Entering Tournament

Jacksonville State enters the CUSA Championship with a 15-16 overall record and a 10-10 mark in conference play. The Gamecocks have been competitive recently as they recently won over UTEP 64-61, recently lost to New Mexico State 77-75 in overtime, recently lost to Liberty 81-78, recently won over Delaware 80-70 in overtime, and recently lost to Sam Houston 82-78.

Jacksonville State averages 73.0 points per game while allowing just 68.4 points per contest this season. The Gamecocks shoot 44% from the field and average 36.8 rebounds per game while producing 12.1 assists per contest. Defensively they contribute 3.0 blocks and 6.1 steals per game.

Defense has been Jacksonville State’s biggest strength this season. Allowing fewer than 70 points per game has helped them stay competitive in close contests and gives them a strong foundation heading into tournament play.

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Aggies Looking to Repeat Recent Success

New Mexico State enters the tournament with a 15-15 overall record and an 8-12 conference mark. The Aggies have had mixed results recently as they recently won over Kennesaw State 79-76, recently won over Jacksonville State 77-75 in overtime, recently lost to Middle Tennessee 86-85 in overtime, recently lost to Western Kentucky 93-70, and recently won over UTEP 67-63.

The Aggies average 75.8 points per game while allowing 72.4 points per contest this season. New Mexico State shoots 43% from the field and averages 38.0 rebounds per game while contributing 13.4 assists per contest.

Rebounding has been one of the Aggies’ strongest advantages. Their ability to control the glass and create second-chance opportunities can play a major role in tournament matchups where possessions are often limited.

Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Pick

New Mexico State Aggies Moneyline

New Mexico State recently defeated Jacksonville State in a tight overtime game, and that experience could carry over into this tournament matchup. The Aggies hold a slight advantage in rebounding and scoring production, which could help them control key stretches of the game.

Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Total Pick

Take the Under if the total is set at 146

I expect this to be a fairly defensive and tightly contested game. Jacksonville State allows under 70 points per game and tends to slow the pace, which often leads to lower scoring contests. With both teams familiar with each other and tournament pressure in play, I lean toward the under.

Final Score Prediction: New Mexico State 72, Jacksonville State 68

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