Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026
Kansas State heads to Lubbock to face Texas Tech on Saturday afternoon at United Supermarkets Arena. The Wildcats are 11-15 overall and 2-11 in Big 12 play after a 90-74 home win over Baylor in their last game. Texas Tech is 19-7 overall and 9-4 in conference play, and the Red Raiders are coming off a 72-67 road loss at Arizona State. Get a betting edge with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 21
- Time: 2:30 PM ET
- Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX
- TV: FOX
Kansas State Wildcats Preview
Kansas State averages 80.6 points per game and allows nearly the same at 80.4, with P.J. Haggerty as the top scorer, averaging 23.7 points per game. Abdi Bashir Jr. is the second leading scorer at 13.2 points per game, while Nate Johnson directs the offense at 4.6 assists per game and adds 2.2 steals per game. Haggerty also leads the Wildcats on the glass at 5.1 rebounds per game, and Dorin Buca provides interior presence with 1.4 blocks per game. Kansas State averages 17.8 assists and 34.7 rebounds per game, but the Wildcats have had trouble stringing stops together, especially against strong shooting teams.
Injury Report: Abdi Bashir Jr. is out, and Mobi Ikegwuruka is a game-time decision.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 80.6
- Points Allowed: 80.4
- Rebounds: 34.7
- Assists: 17.8
- Steals: 7.1
- Blocks: 3.7
- Turnovers: 13.0
Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
Texas Tech averages 81.4 points per game while allowing just 72.3, but the lineup looks different with JT Toppin out for the remainder of the season. With Toppin unavailable, the leading active scorer is Christian Anderson at 19.0 points per game, and the second leading scorer is Donovan Atwell at 12.5 points per game. LeJuan Watts becomes the leading active rebounder at 6.1 boards per game, while Anderson drives tempo and production with 7.6 assists per game and 1.4 steals per game. Texas Tech averages 37.7 rebounds per game and shoots 46.4% from the field. Luke Bamgboye provides rim protection at 1.7 blocks per game, giving the Red Raiders a needed interior anchor with Toppin out.
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Injury Report: JT Toppin is out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 81.4
- Points Allowed: 72.3
- Rebounds: 37.7
- Assists: 16.0
- Steals: 6.3
- Blocks: 3.6
- Turnovers: 10.7
Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction
Texas Tech’s defense still gives the Red Raiders a chance to win this matchup, but losing JT Toppin removes their best scorer and rebounder and tightens the margin for error against a Kansas State team that can score in bunches when it gets clean perimeter looks. Kansas State’s ability to force turnovers at a higher rate and push the pace through Nate Johnson and P.J. Haggerty will keep the Wildcats ahead. With Texas Tech needing more scoring from Christian Anderson and more board work from LeJuan Watts, Kansas State will have enough offense to win on the road. Final Score Prediction: Kansas State Wildcats win and cover ATS, 77-73.
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