Lamar vs San Diego State Picks & Prediction for Wednesday December 10, 2025
San Diego State looks to build momentum as they return home to face a physical and defensively active Lamar squad in a late-night matchup at Viejas Arena. Before you lock in any wagers on this West Coast showdown, be sure to check the updated insights and expert breakdowns on the Free College Basketball Picks page.
Lamar Cardinals Preview
Lamar enters at 5–3, but this team has shown impressive resilience despite a demanding early-season travel schedule. The Cardinals’ strength lies in their defensive activity — they average 8.5 steals per game and force opponents into uncomfortable possessions with constant ball pressure. Even in their recent 57–49 loss to AMCC, Lamar held their opponent under 60 points and continued to show their identity as a grinding, scrappy defensive unit.
Offensively, Lamar leans on R.J. Lee Jr., who leads the team with 13.8 points per game while shooting 41.4% from the field. His attacking style is complemented by the Cardinals’ willingness to move the ball, averaging 16.3 assists per game, one of the higher marks in their conference. What Lamar lacks, however, is elite shot creation, and scoring droughts have been common when Lee isn’t getting clean looks.
Rebounding will be another key factor — while Lamar averages 44 boards a game, they can struggle with second-chance points when facing longer, more athletic frontcourts like SDSU’s. If Lamar wants to keep this game close, they’ll need to win the effort categories: loose balls, transition defense, and free-throw efficiency.
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San Diego State Aztecs Preview
At 4–3, San Diego State remains a high-ceiling team still figuring out their rotation after early inconsistency. Their last outing, a 77–66 win over Utah Valley, showed what they can do when their offense flows — ball movement, spacing, and timely three-point shooting. The Aztecs rarely beat themselves and continue to rely on their trademark defensive discipline.
SDSU’s leading scorer, Reese Dixon-Waters, averages 12.8 points per game and gives them a strong, physical wing presence who can finish through contact. The Aztecs score 80.9 points per game, but their real advantage is their length and defensive positioning. They average 8.7 steals per game, and that pressure often fuels explosive scoring runs.
Rebounding is a slight area of concern — they average 34.6 boards per game, which is modest — but their pace, turnovers forced, and athletic advantages tend to make up for it. At home, especially in the always-loud Viejas Arena, the Aztecs often overwhelm mid-major opponents with momentum swings.
Lamar vs San Diego State Pick
I’m backing San Diego State here. Lamar brings defensive fight, but SDSU’s depth, athleticism, and ability to turn defensive stops into instant offense make them extremely difficult to hang with for 40 minutes. The Aztecs have too many scoring options, and their home-court advantage at Viejas is one of the strongest in the West. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on Lamar. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for San Diego State with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Lamar vs San Diego State you are using the BetMGM bonus code.
Lamar’s defense may keep things competitive early, but their scoring limitations should eventually catch up to them, especially against SDSU’s length and ball pressure.
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