Longwood Lancers vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs Picks and Predictions for Friday March 6 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/06/2026, 12:55 AM ET

The Longwood Lancers face the UNC Asheville Bulldogs in the Big South Championship Quarterfinal on Friday March 6, 2026 at Freedom Hall in Johnson City, Tennessee. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released for the moneyline, total, or spread. Be sure to also check out our free college basketball picks for additional daily predictions and betting insight across the college basketball slate.

Longwood Bringing Momentum into the Quarterfinal

Longwood enters the Big South Tournament with a 16-15 overall record and an even 8-8 mark in conference play. The Lancers have played competitive basketball down the stretch as they recently won over Radford, recently won over Charleston Southern in double overtime, recently lost to Presbyterian, recently won over USC Upstate in overtime, and recently lost to UNC Asheville.

Offensively, Longwood averages 77.5 points per game while allowing 73.7 points per contest. The Lancers shoot 46% from the field while averaging 36.9 rebounds and 12.8 assists per game.

One of the key strengths for Longwood has been their rebounding ability and defensive activity. The Lancers average 8.7 steals per game, which allows them to generate extra possessions and transition scoring opportunities. Their ability to control the glass also gives them a chance to limit second-chance points for opponents.

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Bulldogs Looking to Respond in Tournament Play

UNC Asheville enters the quarterfinal matchup with a 14-16 overall record and an 8-8 conference record. The Bulldogs have been inconsistent recently as they recently lost to Charleston Southern, recently won over Gardner-Webb, recently won over Radford in overtime, recently lost to High Point, and recently lost to Presbyterian.

The Bulldogs average 73.1 points per game while allowing 72.6 points per contest. UNC Asheville shoots 46% from the field while averaging 34.8 rebounds and 11.1 assists per game.

Defensively, the Bulldogs have shown the ability to protect the rim with 3.6 blocks per game. Their balanced defensive approach has helped keep many games competitive, particularly when they are able to slow down opponents and force half-court possessions.

Longwood vs UNC Asheville Pick

Longwood -2

Longwood has been playing strong basketball late in the season and they have shown the ability to win close games, including multiple overtime victories. Their rebounding advantage and ability to generate steals could be key factors in a tournament matchup where possessions become extremely important. While UNC Asheville already defeated Longwood earlier this season, the Lancers appear to have slightly more momentum entering this quarterfinal.

Longwood vs UNC Asheville Total Pick

Take the under if the total is set at 148

I expect this game to be fairly competitive and possibly slower paced as both teams try to avoid mistakes in a tournament environment. Both teams allow around the low 70s in points per game, and that defensive balance could keep the scoring slightly lower than expected.

Final Score Prediction: Longwood 74, UNC Asheville 70

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