Loyola Marymount Lions vs San Francisco Dons Picks and Predictions for Wednesday February 4 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/04/2026, 03:05 AM ET

The Loyola Marymount Lions head to Northern California to take on the San Francisco Dons on Wednesday night at The Sobrato Center in San Francisco, California, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 PM ET. This West Coast Conference matchup will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing, the moneyline odds were not released. The total is set at 142.5 points, while San Francisco is listed as a 7.5-point home favorite. For more daily betting insight, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks.

Loyola Marymount Searching for a Turnaround

Loyola Marymount enters this matchup with an 11–13 overall record and has struggled away from home this season. In their last five games, the Lions have recently lost to Santa Clara, Oregon State twice, Seattle, and Portland. That stretch highlights ongoing issues with consistency, particularly on the defensive end, as Loyola Marymount has had difficulty slowing opposing offenses.

Statistically, the Lions are averaging 74.5 points per game while allowing 72.7. They shoot 45% from the field and average 35.0 rebounds per game, giving them a respectable presence on the glass. Ball movement has been steady at 13.8 assists per game, while defensively they contribute 4.4 blocks and 6.3 steals per contest.

Where Loyola Marymount has struggled most is efficiency late in games. When opponents apply sustained pressure, the Lions have had trouble getting quality looks and protecting the ball, which has led to scoring droughts that quickly swing momentum.

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San Francisco Aiming to Control the Pace at Home

San Francisco comes into Wednesday with a 14–10 overall record and has generally been more reliable on its home floor. Over the last five games, the Dons have recently won over Pacific and Washington State, while losses to Santa Clara, Gonzaga, and Saint Mary’s came against strong conference competition.

The Dons are averaging 75.7 points per game while allowing 71.0, and they shoot 45% from the field. San Francisco also holds an edge on the glass at 37.8 rebounds per game and averages 14.5 assists per contest, showing a balanced offensive approach. Defensively, they add 3.2 blocks and 5.5 steals per game.

San Francisco’s biggest strength is balance. They don’t rely heavily on one scorer, and that depth allows them to maintain steady production throughout the game, particularly at home where their defensive effort tends to tighten up late.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs San Francisco Dons Pick

San Francisco Dons -7.5

I’m backing San Francisco to cover at home. The Dons have a clear edge in rebounding, depth, and defensive consistency, while Loyola Marymount is riding a five-game losing streak. San Francisco’s ability to control tempo and finish possessions should allow them to pull away in the second half.

Loyola Marymount Lions vs San Francisco Dons Total Pick

Over 142.5

I’m taking the over. Both teams average more than 74 points per game, and Loyola Marymount’s defense has struggled to get consistent stops on the road. If San Francisco dictates pace and Loyola Marymount is forced to play from behind, this game has a strong chance to reach the mid-140s.

Final Score Prediction:

San Francisco Dons 78, Loyola Marymount Lions 68

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