Maryland Terrapins vs Iowa Hawkeyes Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 11 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/11/2026, 02:40 AM ET

The Maryland Terrapins face the Iowa Hawkeyes in the Big Ten Tournament Second Round on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, at United Center in Chicago, Illinois. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on Peacock. Iowa enters as a 10.5-point favorite with the total set at 136.5. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional tournament predictions and betting insights.

Maryland Fighting Through Tournament Opening Round

The Maryland Terrapins enter the second round with a 12-20 overall record and a 4-16 mark in Big Ten play. They advanced in the tournament after recently winning over Oregon 70-60 in the first round. Over their last five games, Maryland has recently won over Oregon, while they have recently lost to Illinois, Wisconsin, Rutgers, and Nebraska.

Maryland averages 69.9 points per game while allowing 76.6 points per contest this season. The Terrapins shoot 41% from the field and average 35.4 rebounds and 10.5 assists per game, showing a team that often relies on rebounding to stay competitive. Defensively they contribute 4.7 steals and 2.9 blocks per game, though their defensive consistency has been a challenge throughout the season.

In the opening-round victory over Oregon, Maryland leaned on rebounding and timely shooting to secure the win. David Coit led the Terrapins with 17 points, while Andre Mills grabbed 6 rebounds to help control the glass. Maryland also dominated the boards 38-28 and hit nine three-pointers, showing that perimeter shooting and rebounding depth could be key factors as they face a rested Iowa squad.

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Iowa Entering Tournament with Rest Advantage

The Iowa Hawkeyes enter the Big Ten Tournament with a 20-11 overall record and a 10-10 conference record, earning a first-round bye into the second round. In their last five games, Iowa has recently won over Ohio State, while they have recently lost to Nebraska, Michigan, Penn State, and Wisconsin.

Iowa averages 75.4 points per game while allowing 65.8 points, reflecting one of the stronger defensive profiles in the Big Ten this season. The Hawkeyes shoot 49% from the field and average 29.7 rebounds and 15.2 assists per game, highlighting their efficient offensive style and ability to move the ball effectively. Defensively they record 7.1 steals and 2.0 blocks per game, often forcing turnovers and turning them into scoring opportunities.

In their most recent outing, Iowa recently lost to Nebraska 84-75 in overtime despite a competitive performance. Kael Combs led the Hawkeyes with 18 points, while Tavion Banks grabbed 7 rebounds to provide interior support. Iowa shot 48% from the field and 37% from three-point range in that game, but turnovers proved costly as the Hawkeyes committed 19 giveaways, something they will look to correct entering tournament play.

Maryland Terrapins vs Iowa Hawkeyes Pick

Maryland Terrapins vs Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Pick

Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes -10.5

Iowa enters this matchup with the advantage of rest and the stronger overall profile on both ends of the floor. The Hawkeyes shoot nearly 50% from the field and allow just 65.8 points per game, which should help them control the tempo against a Maryland team that struggled throughout conference play. While Maryland gained momentum with a first-round win, the short turnaround and Iowa’s offensive efficiency give the Hawkeyes the edge to pull away in the second half.

Maryland Terrapins vs Iowa Hawkeyes Total Pick

Pick: Under 136.5

I like the under in this matchup because Iowa’s defense has consistently limited opponents throughout the season. The Hawkeyes prefer a more controlled pace, and Maryland’s offense has been inconsistent, averaging under 70 points per game. With Iowa likely dictating tempo and Maryland focusing on rebounding and half-court offense, this game has the potential to stay relatively low scoring.

Final Score Prediction: Iowa 74, Maryland 61

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