Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers Picks and Prediction for Friday March 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/13/2026, 02:00 AM ET

The Miami Hurricanes face the Virginia Cavaliers in the T. Rowe Price ACC Tournament Semifinal on Friday, March 13, 2026, at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN2. Virginia enters the matchup as a 4.5-point favorite with the total listed at 143.5. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.

Miami Carrying Momentum into ACC Semifinal

Miami enters the ACC Tournament Semifinal with a 25-7 overall record and a 13-5 mark in ACC play. The Hurricanes advanced after recently winning over Louisville 78-73 in the tournament quarterfinal. Over their last five games, Miami has recently won over Louisville, SMU, Boston College, and Florida State while recently losing to Louisville.

On the season, Miami averages 82.7 points per game while allowing 70.8 points per contest. The Hurricanes shoot an impressive 51% from the field and average 37.8 rebounds and 16.6 assists per game. Defensively, Miami contributes 3.3 blocks and 7.9 steals per contest while using efficient offense and transition opportunities to control the pace of games.

In the quarterfinal win over Louisville, Malik Reneau led the Hurricanes with 24 points while Ernest Udeh Jr. controlled the glass with nine rebounds. Miami shot 47% from the field and limited turnovers to just eight in the victory. With the Hurricanes playing on a short turnaround in the tournament, maintaining that offensive efficiency and interior presence will be crucial against a disciplined Virginia defense.

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Virginia Looking to Continue Strong Tournament Run

Virginia enters the ACC Tournament Semifinal with a 28-4 overall record and a 15-3 mark in conference play. The Cavaliers advanced after recently winning over NC State 81-74 in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, Virginia has recently won over NC State twice, Virginia Tech, and Wake Forest while recently losing to Duke.

On the season, Virginia averages 80.9 points per game while allowing 68.4 points per contest. The Cavaliers shoot 46% from the field and average 40.8 rebounds and 16.8 assists per game. Defensively, Virginia contributes 6.2 blocks and 6.6 steals per contest while relying on disciplined half-court defense and strong interior protection.

In their quarterfinal win over NC State, Malik Thomas led the Cavaliers with 16 points while Ugonna Onyenso led the team with six rebounds. Virginia shot an efficient 48% from the field and knocked down 12 three-pointers in the victory. With the Cavaliers playing balanced basketball and bringing strong defensive presence, they enter this semifinal matchup with momentum.

Miami vs Virginia Pick

Miami vs Virginia Spread Pick

Pick: Virginia -4.5

Virginia enters this matchup with the advantage in defensive consistency and rebounding strength. The Cavaliers have been excellent at controlling tempo and limiting opponents’ scoring opportunities, which could be a challenge for a Miami team playing on a short turnaround. With Virginia’s balanced offense and defensive discipline, the Cavaliers should be able to control the game and cover the spread.

Miami vs Virginia Total Pick

Pick: Under 143.5

I like the under in this matchup because Virginia typically prefers a controlled pace and strong half-court defense. The Cavaliers allow just 68.4 points per game this season and often limit opponents’ scoring runs by slowing the tempo. With both teams capable defensively and the stakes high in a tournament semifinal, this game has a good chance to stay under the total.

Final Score Prediction: Virginia 74, Miami 67

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