Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Bowling Green Falcons Picks & Predictions for Tuesday December 30, 2025
Introduction
We’ve got a tasty MAC clash here as the Miami (OH) RedHawks (13-0, 1-0 MAC) hit the road to face the Bowling Green Falcons (10-3, 1-0 MAC) at the Stroh Center. Tip-off is 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, and the market is basically calling this a near coin-flip with Bowling Green laying a small number at home. Make sure you are ready for the best college basketball action with our free college basketball picks.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Preview: Undefeated, Elite Efficiency, and They Score in Bunches
Miami (OH) is 13-0 for a reason: they’ve been an offensive machine, averaging 95.1 points per game while shooting a blistering 55% from the field. That efficiency plus 18.2 assists per game tells you this isn’t just a “hot shooting” team — they’re consistently generating good looks.
Defensively, they’ve been solid enough, allowing 71.1 PPG, and they’re winning in a variety of ways. In their last five, they’ve stayed comfortable in high-scoring environments and tight finishes — including an OT win at UNC Asheville (90-87) and a road win at Ball State (86-77).
Their top scorer is Brant Byers (14.5 PPG), but the bigger takeaway is Miami doesn’t rely on one guy to explode — they’re built to score as a unit.
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Bowling Green Falcons Preview: Balanced Attack, Big Stop Potential, and the Steals Pop
Bowling Green comes in 10-3 and riding a 4-game win streak, and they’ve been strong on both ends. The Falcons are putting up 88.6 PPG on 50% shooting, while allowing just 64.4 PPG — that’s a defensive profile that can absolutely make life uncomfortable, especially at home.
One stat that jumps off the page: 13.0 steals per game. That kind of pressure can swing this matchup because Miami is used to playing clean offence and getting into rhythm. If Bowling Green can speed them up and turn a few possessions into runouts, that’s how you flip a game like this at the Stroh Center.
Offensively, Javontae Campbell (15.5 PPG) leads the way, and Bowling Green’s recent results show they can both grind and run depending on opponent.
Key Points To Watch For
This game is basically Miami’s efficiency vs Bowling Green’s disruptive defence. Miami shoots 55% and scores 95.1 PPG, but Bowling Green is allowing only 64.4 PPG and creating chaos with steals (13.0 per game). On the other side, Bowling Green scores 88.6 PPG, so if Miami’s defence (71.1 allowed) can’t get enough stops, this turns into a true “who gets the final run” type of game.
Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green Pick
I’m taking Miami (OH) +4.5. I’m not stepping in front of a 13-0 team that scores this efficiently — and the number gives me a cushion in what looks like a tight MAC battle. If Miami keeps their shot quality high and avoids live-ball turnovers, I think they’re live to win it outright. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Miami (OH) with the Thrillz promo code. Make the most of your bets on Bowling Green by using the sportsbook promos. Make sure when you place your Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.
For the total, I lean Over 154.5. Yes, Bowling Green’s defence is legit, but both teams are averaging 88+ PPG, and if the steals lead to transition buckets, this can climb quickly even if the half-court defence shows up.
Final Score Prediction:
Miami (OH) 82, Bowling Green 79
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