Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers Picks and Predictions for Tuesday February 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/17/2026, 01:45 AM ET

The Michigan Wolverines head to West Lafayette to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Tuesday, February 17, 2026. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 PM ET at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, IN, with the game streaming on Peacock. Michigan enters as a 2.5-point road favorite, and the total is set at 153.5. At the time of this writing, the moneyline was not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more analysis on today’s top matchups.

Wolverines Rolling Through the Big Ten

Michigan comes into this showdown with an impressive 24-1 overall record and a 14-1 mark in Big Ten play. The Wolverines have been dominant both home and away and are riding a five-game winning streak, recently defeating UCLA 86-56, NU 87-75, OSU 82-61, PSU 110-69, and MSU 83-71. They have handled quality conference opponents with relative ease and have shown consistency on both ends of the floor.

Offensively, Michigan is averaging a staggering 90.6 points per game while allowing just 68.3 points per contest. They are shooting 51% from the field and pulling down 41.6 rebounds per game. The Wolverines also average 19.4 assists per game, showcasing excellent ball movement and unselfish play.

What separates Michigan is their efficiency and balance. They average 6.1 blocks and 6.2 steals per game, creating defensive pressure while protecting the rim. Their ability to score in transition and execute in half-court sets makes them one of the most complete teams in the country.

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Boilermakers Defending Mackey Arena

Purdue enters this matchup at 21-4 overall and 11-3 in Big Ten action. The Boilermakers have also won four straight games, recently defeating IOWA 78-57, NEB 80-77 in overtime, ORE 68-64, and MD 93-63, with their lone recent loss coming at IU 72-67. Purdue has been strong at home and will rely on that advantage against the conference leaders.

The Boilermakers are averaging 82.6 points per game while allowing 68.6 points per contest. They are shooting 50% from the field and grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game. Purdue also averages 19.8 assists per game, which actually tops Michigan slightly in that category.

One notable strength for Purdue is their offensive execution. Their assist numbers indicate strong ball movement, and their 50% shooting reflects quality shot selection. However, they average just 2.9 blocks and 5.8 steals per game, which could be a factor against Michigan’s athleticism and depth.

Michigan vs Purdue Pick

Michigan -2.5

Michigan has been the more consistent and explosive team all season. Even in a tough road environment like Mackey Arena, their offensive efficiency and defensive versatility give them the edge. With the Wolverines scoring over 90 points per game and playing elite defense, I like them to cover the short spread.

Michigan vs Purdue Total Pick

Over 153.5

I expect both offenses to be efficient in this matchup. Michigan plays at a high tempo and Purdue can score with anyone in the conference. With both teams shooting at or above 50% from the field and capable of stretching the floor, I believe this game climbs into the mid-to-high 150s.

Final Score Prediction: Michigan 84, Purdue 78

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