Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kennesaw State Owls, Picks and Prediction for Thursday, February 12, 2026

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 02/12/2026, 12:20 AM ET

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (11-12, 5-7 Conference USA) hit the road to face the Kennesaw State Owls (14-9, 6-6 CUSA) on Thursday, February 12, 2026, at VyStar Arena in Kennesaw, GA. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Analysis

Middle Tennessee enters with an 11-12 record and a 5-7 mark in CUSA play. The Blue Raiders average roughly 74.6 points per game while allowing 71.9 PPG. They shoot around 43.9% from the field and have been competitive in many games, though recent results include tight losses, including an 89-88 overtime defeat to Delaware.

Team Overview and Metrics

PPG: 74.6
FG%: 43.9%

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Rebounds: 36.8 RPG
Assists: 14.5 APG
Points Allowed: 71.9

Strengths

Kamari Lands (G): Leads the team with 13.8 PPG, knocking down perimeter shots and creating offense.
Balanced offense: MTSU spreads scoring across multiple contributors.
Defensive activity: Blue Raiders average a solid number of steals and blocks, creating transition chances.

Weaknesses

Recent form: Middle Tennessee has played several tight losses and enters this matchup with struggles to close out games.
Turnovers: Slips on offensive possessions can yield easy buckets for opponents.
Road consistency: Offensive efficiency tends to dip in hostile environments.

Kennesaw State Owls Analysis

Kennesaw State has shown solid home success, 10-1 at VyStar Arena, and its offensive rebounding rate ranks among the best in the nation. The Owls average about 85.3 points per game while allowing 76.0 PPG and shoot roughly 44% from the field. Freshman stats also show excellent offensive rebounding and assists per game, underscoring their ability to generate second-chance points and ball movement.

Team Overview and Metrics

PPG: 85.3
FG%: 44%
Rebounds: 43.3 RPG
Assists: 14.6 APG

Strengths

Simeon Cottle (G): Leading scorer at 20.2 PPG, the primary offensive threat and go-to creator.
Trey Simpson (G): Near-elite three-point shooting with a notable 2.6 made three-pointers per game over last 10 outings.
Offensive rebounding: Ranked among national leaders with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game, creating extra possession opportunities.
Home dominance: Strong performance at home makes the Owls difficult to beat in VyStar Arena.

Weaknesses

Defensive efficiency: Allowing 76 PPG highlights some defensive vulnerabilities.
Consistency: The Owls have alternated results and can allow runs if perimeter shots don’t fall.
Turnover susceptibility: Aggressive ball movement can lead to live-ball turnovers.

Standout Players and Key Matchups