Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Picks and Prediction for Saturday February 21 2026

By: Dylan Hellebrand Published 02/21/2026, 01:05 AM ET

On Saturday, the Missouri Tigers (18-8) face off against the twentieth-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks (19-7) at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Arkansas. This game will air on ESPN. Keep up to date with all the NCAAB action, with our College Basketball predictions.

Missouri vs. Arkansas Game Information

February 21, 2026
4:00pm EST
Bud Walton Arena
ESPN

Arkansas Form & Recent Results

Arkansas heads into this game sitting at No. 20 in the latest AP Poll. They’re currently trying to shake off a one-game losing streak, although the bigger picture shows they’ve still been playing solid basketball overall, winning three of their last five games. Their most recent result was a heartbreaking, high-scoring 117–115 double-overtime loss at No. 25 Alabama on Wednesday in Tuscaloosa, a game where the Razorbacks got an explosive performance from Darius Acuff Jr., who poured in 49 points and nearly carried them to a huge road win.

So far this season, Acuff Jr. has been Arkansas’ go-to scorer, leading the team at 22.3 points per game. Meleek Thomas has been a reliable second option offensively, averaging 15.3 points a night. Trevon Brazile has set the pace as the Razorbacks’ top rebounder on the glass at 7.2 boards per game, while Acuff Jr. also makes the offense run by leading the team in assists with 6.2 per game. Over their last five games, Arkansas is averaging 91.8 points, and they’ll try to turn that strong scoring rhythm into a bounce-back performance at home as they look to earn a conference win against Missouri.

Missouri Form & Recent Results

Missouri comes into this game feeling pretty good about where it is in the season, riding a one-game winning streak and taking four wins in its last five games overall. The Tigers are fresh off a nail-biting 81–80 victory over Vanderbilt at home on Wednesday, a game where they had to execute down the stretch to survive. Jayden Stone was a major reason they pulled it out, leading the way with 19 points and providing a steady scoring presence when the game got tight late.

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So far this season, Mark Mitchell has been Missouri’s most reliable all-around player. He leads the team in scoring at 16.9 points per game, and he also tops the Tigers in rebounding with 5.5 per game and assists with 3.7 per game, showing how much of the offense runs through him. Stone has been right behind him as the second-leading scorer, averaging 15.1 points per game and giving Missouri another consistent option on the perimeter. Offensively, the Tigers have been productive lately, putting up 79.4 points per game over their last five games. Meanwhile, Arkansas is coming off a fast-paced, high-scoring close loss, and Missouri will be hoping that kind of game took a lot out of the Razorbacks before Saturday afternoon’s matchup in Fayetteville.

Key Players

Missouri’s Mark Mitchell this season: 16.9 points, 5.5 rebounds, 3.7 assists per game
Arkansas’ Darius Acuff Jr. this season: 22.3 points, 6.2 assists this season

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

ARK -10.5; O/U 161.5

Missouri vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction

Arkansas is coming off a brutal, hard-to-swallow loss in its most recent game, but there was still a major bright spot. Darius Acuff Jr. put on a show, pouring in 49 points against Alabama’s defense. That kind of scoring punch is exactly what the Razorbacks will be counting on as they return home to take on Missouri. On the other side, the Tigers are hoping Arkansas is still feeling the effects of that exhausting overtime defeat to Alabama. If the Razorbacks come out a step slow or worn down, Missouri will try to take advantage and hand them another loss. Final Score Prediction, Arkansas Razorbacks win and cover the spread, 90-78.

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