Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah State Aggies Picks and Prediction for Friday March 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/13/2026, 02:40 AM ET

The Nevada Wolf Pack face the Utah State Aggies in the Mountain West Championship Semifinal on Friday, March 13, 2026, at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 PM ET with television coverage on CBSSN. Utah State enters the matchup as a 6.5-point favorite with the total listed at 144.5. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.

Nevada Riding Tournament Momentum into Semifinal

Nevada enters the Mountain West Championship Semifinal with a 22-11 overall record and a 12-8 mark in Mountain West play. The Wolf Pack advanced in the tournament after recently winning over Grand Canyon 84-80 in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, Nevada has recently won over Grand Canyon and Air Force twice while recently losing to Wyoming and UNLV.

On the season, Nevada averages 76.0 points per game while allowing 71.4 points per contest. The Wolf Pack shoot 44% from the field and average 36.2 rebounds with 14.3 assists per game. Defensively, Nevada contributes 3.9 blocks and 6.6 steals per contest while focusing on rebounding and interior defense to limit second-chance opportunities.

In the quarterfinal victory over Grand Canyon, Corey Camper Jr. led Nevada with 27 points while Vaughn Weems led the team with seven rebounds. The Wolf Pack shot 49% from the field and were extremely active at the free throw line, converting 36 free throws in the win. However, Nevada now faces a short turnaround after playing in the quarterfinal round.

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Utah State Entering with Rest and Offensive Efficiency

Utah State enters the Mountain West Championship Semifinal with a 26-6 overall record and a 15-5 mark in Mountain West play. The Aggies advanced after recently winning over UNLV 80-60 in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, Utah State has recently won over UNLV, New Mexico, and Grand Canyon while recently losing to UNLV and San Diego State.

On the season, Utah State averages 83.0 points per game while allowing 70.8 points per contest. The Aggies shoot an impressive 50% from the field and average 34.5 rebounds with 17.7 assists per game. Defensively, Utah State records 2.9 blocks and 8.6 steals per contest while relying on ball movement and efficient shooting to generate offense.

In the quarterfinal win over UNLV, Mason Falslev led the Aggies with 24 points and also pulled down nine rebounds. Utah State shot 51% from the field and held UNLV to just 41% shooting while building a comfortable margin early in the game. With their balanced offense and rest advantage, the Aggies enter the semifinal with strong momentum.

Nevada vs Utah State Pick

Nevada vs Utah State Spread Pick

Pick: Utah State -6.5

Utah State has been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the Mountain West this season, shooting 50% from the field while averaging over 83 points per game. The Aggies also have the benefit of additional rest compared to Nevada, which is coming off a physical quarterfinal game. With strong ball movement and efficient scoring, Utah State has a strong chance to control the tempo and cover the spread.

Nevada vs Utah State Total Pick

Pick: Over 144.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams are capable offensive units that can score efficiently. Utah State averages over 80 points per game and has been shooting the ball extremely well recently. Nevada also demonstrated strong scoring ability in its quarterfinal win, and the free throw rate in that game suggests plenty of scoring opportunities.

Final Score Prediction: Utah State 82, Nevada 74

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