New Mexico State vs Abilene Christian Picks and Prediction for Saturday December 6, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 12/06/2025, 01:50 AM ET

New Mexico State heads to Moody Coliseum tomorrow for a matchup that should have plenty of swings. The Aggies sit at 6-1 and have handled most opponents through efficient backcourt play and rebounding. Abilene Christian is 6-3 and undefeated at home, bringing an aggressive perimeter style that consistently generates steals. ESPN Analytics leans toward New Mexico State, but the Wildcats’ home floor has been a major equalizer. From buzzer-beaters to spreads, we’ve locked in sharp college basketball picks.

New Mexico State Preview

New Mexico State averages 74.7 points and has relied heavily on Jemel Jones, who puts up 16.1 points on 41.7 percent shooting and 85.7 percent at the line. His ability to score in different spots has kept the Aggies’ half-court sets strong. Julius Mims adds strength inside with 7.5 rebounds per game and 62.5 percent shooting. The Aggies also get meaningful production from Jayland Randall and Elijah Elliott, who combine for nearly 18 points and solid perimeter defense. The Aggies’ turnover count can creep up, but rebounding often offsets those giveaways.

Abilene Christian Preview

The Wildcats counter with a scoring leader of their own in Bradyn Hubbard, who averages 16.4 points while shooting 47.7 percent and 35.5 percent from deep. His ability to attack from the wing will be central to ACU’s chances. Rich Smith is the playmaker with 4.5 assists per game and shoots 45.9 percent from the field, giving Abilene Christian another steady scorer. Joseph Scott controls the glass with 5.9 rebounds per game, and the Wildcats’ 10.1 steals per contest show how disruptive they can be when they dictate tempo.

Abilene Chrisitan vs New Mexico State Pick

This matchup likely hinges on New Mexico State’s inside play and Abilene Christian’s pressure on the ball. The Aggies shoot 43 percent overall and hold a strong rebounding average of 39.4 boards per game, while the Wildcats’ 44.8 percent shooting and better assist numbers point to a more balanced offense. ACU’s home dominance is notable, but New Mexico State’s physical play will be enough to steady the pace. Betting on sports and on New Mexico State  is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Abilene Christian with the social sportsbooks. Getting the most out of your bets on Abilene Christian vs New Mexico State can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

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Prediction: New Mexico State 74, Abilene Christian 70

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Best Picks

  • New Mexico State moneyline. The Aggies’ inside presence and scoring balance give them a slight edge.
  • Under the total if posted near the mid-140s. Both teams have stronger defensive metrics than offensive volatility suggests.
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