Niagara vs Siena Picks and Predictions for Friday December 5, 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/05/2025, 01:00 AM ET

Niagara and Siena meet at MVP Arena in Albany for a MAAC conference matchup, with tipoff scheduled for 7:00 PM EST on ESPN+. Siena enters riding a five-game winning streak, while Niagara is trying to stop a four-game slide and regain early-season momentum. Before locking in your wager, make sure you check out the free college basketball picks.

Niagara Preview

Niagara comes in at 2–5 and is trending in the wrong direction. Their most recent loss, a 70–66 defeat to Detroit Mercy, showcased a familiar pattern — competitive early, but unable to execute late. Scoring has been inconsistent, and defensive lapses regularly give opponents extended runs.

Season numbers:

63.4 points per game
74.7 allowed
42% shooting
28.6 rebounds (a major weakness)
12.6 assists
3.1 blocks
5.4 steals

The Purple Eagles are led offensively by J. Page (12.3 PPG), but they lack a true secondary scorer who can stabilize the offense during scoring droughts. Their defensive struggles on the interior make them vulnerable against more physical MAAC teams — and Siena fits that profile.

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Niagara’s path to competing in this game hinges on hitting perimeter shots and controlling turnovers. If they fall behind early, their limited rebounding makes it nearly impossible to climb back.

Siena Preview

Siena enters at 7–2, and their five-game winning streak reflects a team that has tightened up defensively and learned how to close out games. Their most recent victory, a 64–60 win over Maine, highlighted their ability to grind out possessions and impose their preferred tempo.

Team metrics:

68.7 points per game
63.2 allowed
46 rebounds (excellent activity)
33.1 rebounds (elite margin vs Niagara)
12.2 assists
8.4 steals
2.2 blocks

Offensively, G. Doty (15.0 PPG) has emerged as a reliable go-to scorer, and Siena’s supporting cast plays within structure. Their defense is the calling card — packed-in, physical, and disruptive. They defend the arc well and rarely allow teams to dictate pace.

At home, Siena becomes even more disciplined, using crowd energy and defensive pressure to force opponents into mistakes. Against a Niagara team that already struggles with efficiency, this is a matchup advantage.

Niagara vs Siena Pick

I’m backing Siena in this matchup. Niagara has shown effort, but their lack of rebounding and inconsistent scoring make them a tough team to trust on the road — especially against a Siena squad that thrives defensively and has a major advantage on the glass.

Siena’s physical style should disrupt Niagara’s rhythm early, and with Doty leading the offense, the Saints have more reliable scoring options. Unless Niagara shoots well above their season averages from deep, I expect Siena to control the pace, limit second-chance points, and stretch the lead as the game progresses. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Niagara with the Thrillz promo code. Make the most of your bets on Siena by using the sportsbook promos. Make sure when you place your Niagara vs Siena bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.

Give me Siena to win and cover at home.

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