Old Dominion Monarchs vs Maryland Terrapins Picks & Predictions for Sunday December 28 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/28/2025, 01:15 AM ET

Introduction

The Old Dominion Monarchs travel to College Park to face the Maryland Terrapins at the XFINITY Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 PM, and the game will air on BTN. Old Dominion has struggled mightily away from home, while Maryland is looking to stop a three-game skid. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more game previews.

Old Dominion’s Road Issues: A Tough Spot Against a Desperate Home Team

Old Dominion enters at 4-9 overall and 0-8 on the road, and that road record is the biggest red flag in the entire matchup. The Monarchs score 74.2 points per game and allow 77.2, which isn’t disastrous on its own, but it becomes a problem when you’ve been unable to close out any road games.

They shoot 43% from the field and average 35.5 rebounds, which shows they can compete physically, but the offensive efficiency is questionable, especially against teams that can pressure possessions and turn defense into points. Old Dominion comes in off a close loss to Coastal Carolina, which shows they can hang around, but this is still a major step up in environment.

Old Dominion’s leading scorer is Jordan Battle, averaging 14.2 PPG while shooting 87.5% at the free-throw line. If ODU is going to cover, Battle needs to be a steady point source because the Monarchs don’t look like a team that can “accidentally” explode offensively based on the season numbers.

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Maryland at Home: The Terrapins Need a Reset Button

Maryland is 6-6 overall and 3-2 at home, but they enter on a three-game losing streak, which makes this a classic “get-right” spot. The Terrapins score 77.2 points per game but allow 80.5, which explains why they’ve dropped multiple games—defensive results have not matched what you’d want from a favorite.

Maryland shoots just 41% from the field, which is one of the key numbers in this matchup. The good news is they’re facing an Old Dominion team that has been winless on the road. Maryland’s path to covering is likely built on defense and rebounding, rather than pure shooting efficiency.

Maryland’s top scorer is Pharrel Payne, averaging 17.5 PPG on an elite 62.4% shooting. That is a huge matchup advantage—when you have a lead option that efficient, it stabilizes your offense even if the team shooting percentage overall is low.

Key Points To Watch For

Old Dominion is 0-8 on the road, the biggest single trend in the matchup
Maryland is on a three-game losing streak, which increases urgency at home
Maryland’s team FG% is low (41%), so margin likely comes from defense and efficiency inside
Spread is Maryland -13.5, with a 92.8% matchup predictor edge

Old Dominion Monarchs vs Maryland Terrapins Pick

My best pick is Maryland -13.5. I’m backing Maryland here because Old Dominion’s road profile is simply too poor to ignore. A winless road team stepping into a Big Ten home environment is usually a bad recipe, and Maryland’s urgency off a three-game losing streak makes this even more likely to turn into a one-sided second half.

My lean pick is Under 152.5. Old Dominion plays closer to a mid-140s style based on their scoring, and Maryland’s offense has not been consistently efficient. If Maryland is covering this number, it may come through defense, rebounding, and controlling possessions rather than pushing into a full shootout. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on Old Dominion. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Maryland with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Maryland vs Old Dominion you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Prediction:

Maryland 78, Old Dominion 62

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