Omaha Mavericks vs North Dakota State Bison Picks and Predictions for Saturday March 7 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/07/2026, 04:45 AM ET

The Omaha Mavericks and North Dakota State Bison meet in the Summit League Championship Semifinal on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at the Denny Sanford Premier Center in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on CBSSN. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. For more analysis on today’s biggest tournament games, be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for additional predictions and betting insight.

Omaha Mavericks Trying to Build on Quarterfinal Win

The Omaha Mavericks enter the Summit League semifinal with a 16-16 overall record and an 8-8 conference record. Omaha advanced to this round with a 76-62 win over South Dakota in the quarterfinals. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have recently won over South Dakota, Oral Roberts, and Denver, while recently losing to St. Thomas and South Dakota earlier in the stretch.

Omaha averages 76.8 points per game while allowing 76.5 points per contest, reflecting a team that often plays in competitive matchups. The Mavericks shoot 47% from the field, collect 34.6 rebounds per game, and average 13.4 assists per contest. Defensively, Omaha records 5.9 steals and 2.8 blocks per game, showing a balanced approach on both ends of the floor.

In their quarterfinal victory, Ja'Sean Glover led the Mavericks with 25 points, attacking the defense and converting 10-of-11 free throws. Paul Djobet dominated the glass with 14 rebounds, helping Omaha remain competitive in the rebounding battle despite South Dakota’s size. The Mavericks also committed just five turnovers in the game, highlighting a level of offensive discipline they will need to maintain against a strong North Dakota State team.

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North Dakota State Bison Enter as Conference Favorite

The North Dakota State Bison come into the semifinal with a 25-7 overall record and a dominant 14-2 Summit League mark. North Dakota State advanced with a 76-65 win over Oral Roberts in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, the Bison have recently won over Oral Roberts, North Dakota, Kansas City, and South Dakota State, while recently losing to St. Thomas.

North Dakota State has been one of the most consistent teams in the conference this season. The Bison average 81.3 points per game while allowing just 70.4 points per contest, showing strong offensive efficiency and solid defense. They shoot 47% from the field, grab 36.1 rebounds per game, and average 15.7 assists per contest, reflecting a balanced and efficient offensive system. Defensively, they produce 8.5 steals and 2.9 blocks per game, often turning defensive stops into transition scoring opportunities.

In the quarterfinal win over Oral Roberts, Damari Wheeler-Thomas led the team with 18 points, providing a steady scoring presence. Noah Feddersen controlled the boards with 11 rebounds, while Andy Stefonowicz added 7 assists to orchestrate the offense. Even though the Bison shot just 40% from the field, they limited turnovers to only eight, showing their ability to manage the game efficiently.

Omaha vs North Dakota State Pick

Omaha vs North Dakota State Spread Pick

Pick: North Dakota State Bison - Moneyline

North Dakota State enters this semifinal as the more complete team with advantages in scoring efficiency, defense, and depth. While Omaha played well in the quarterfinal win over South Dakota, the Bison have been the most consistent team in the Summit League this season and have shown they can control games with balanced offense and disciplined defense. Their ability to force turnovers while limiting mistakes themselves should allow them to control the tempo against an Omaha team that can struggle defensively.

Omaha vs North Dakota State Total Pick

Pick: Over

I like the over in this matchup because both teams have the ability to score and push the pace offensively. North Dakota State averages more than 81 points per game, while Omaha averages nearly 77 points per contest, meaning both offenses are capable of generating scoring runs. Even though both teams can defend, tournament games often lead to faster tempo and increased possessions, which should help push this matchup past the total.

Final Score Prediction: North Dakota State 83, Omaha 74

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