Richmond Spiders at Saint Louis Billikens, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, January 17, 2026
The Richmond Spiders travel to St. Louis to face the Saint Louis Billikens on Saturday, January 17, 2026, at Chaifetz Arena. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Richmond Spiders Analysis
Richmond remains one of the most structured and patient teams in the A-10. The Spiders emphasize half-court execution, ball movement, and defensive positioning, often forcing opponents to beat them possession by possession.
Team Overview and Metrics
Richmond is averaging approximately 82 points per game, shooting around 46% from the field.
Strengths
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Half-court efficiency: Richmond consistently generates quality looks late in possessions.
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Interior facilitation: Aiden Argabright anchors the offense with scoring, rebounding, and effective passing
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Defensive discipline: Strong help defense limits fouling and open shots.
Weaknesses
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Limited pace: Playing slow makes comebacks more difficult if trailing late.
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Road offense: Shooting efficiency can dip away from home.
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Reliance on execution: When timing is off, scoring runs are hard to find.
Saint Louis Billikens Analysis
Saint Louis brings a more aggressive offensive approach, relying on perimeter shooting, transition opportunities, and athletic wings. At home, the Billikens are particularly dangerous when they establish rhythm early.
Team Overview and Metrics
The Billikens average roughly 91 points per game, shooting around 52% from the field and 38% from beyond the arc.
Strengths
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Scoring: Robbie Avila remains one of the A-10’s most reliable rebounders and scorers.
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Shot volume: Saint Louis can score quickly with spacing and ball movement.
Weaknesses
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Defensive consistency: Structured offenses can expose rotation lapses.
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Rebounding margin: Second-chance points have hurt in close games.
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Turnover risk: Aggressive guard play can lead to mistakes under pressure.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Richmond
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AJ Lopez: A focal point offensively with his ability to score 12.6 points per game.
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Will Johnston: Primary perimeter scorer (10.3 PPG) who must convert open looks to keep Richmond competitive.
Saint Louis
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Robbie Avila: Elite big man putting up 12 points 4 rebounds and 4 assists per game.
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Dion Brown: Versatile wing providing 6 rebounds per game.
Richmond vs Saint Louis Prediction Reasoning
This projects as a tight A-10 battle. Richmond’s tempo control and defensive discipline should keep the game close, but Saint Louis’ depth and talent is just a bit better.
Final Score Projection: Saint Louis 80, Richmond 70
Best Picks
- Richmond +15.5
- Under 162.5 total points
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